All Strategies>Peter Lynch

Peter Lynch's Fair Value Strategy

Invest in What You Know

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Investment amount
$10,000
Investment range
5 years
Total return
Investment worth
About This Strategy

Peter Lynch’s investing strategy can be summarized by one piece of simple advice "Buy what you know." Lynch encourages investors to focus on companies and industries they understand well.

 

In addition to deeply researching and understanding companies he invests in, Peter Lynch considers several quantitative factors in choosing stocks to buy.

 

A company should be worth its “Earnings Growth Rate” times its “Current Earnings”.

 

Earnings Growth

Lynch places a strong emphasis on a company's earnings growth. He looks for companies with consistent and sustainable earnings growth over time.

 

Price-Earnings Ratio (P/E)

Lynch uses the P/E ratio as a valuation metric. A low P/E ratio might indicate that a stock is undervalued, while a high P/E ratio could suggest overvaluation. However, he cautions against relying solely on this metric and advises considering other factors as well.

 

PEG Ratio

The Price/Earnings to Growth (PEG) ratio is another key metric Lynch considers. The PEG ratio takes into account a company's earnings growth rate. A PEG ratio below 1 may indicate an undervalued stock relative to its growth prospects.

 

Strong Balance Sheet/Low Debt

Lynch prefers companies with a strong balance sheet, low debt, and a history of responsible financial management. A healthy balance sheet provides safety during economic downturns.

 

Key Metrics
10-Year Avg.
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Beta
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Annual Returns
1-Year Avg.
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3-Year Avg.
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5-Year Avg.
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Strategy Formulas & Filters

Return on Equity Average (5-Yr)weight: 0.33
Averages ROE over a five-year period to provide a stable view of profitability.

Fair Value Upside (5-yr Historical)weight: 0.33
Assesses fair value upside by comparing current EBITDA to a five-year historical average adjusted for dividend payout ratios.

Earnings Yieldweight: 0.33
Calculates the earnings yield by dividing EBIT by enterprise value to gauge operating profitability relative to market valuation.
Trading Model

Purchase ModelDefault
Purchase 4 stocks every 3 months until portfolio size reaches 32.
Rebalance 50%Interval: 3MReinvest Dividends

Selling Model
Hold the stock for a maximum of 2 years.
Stop-loss: 0%
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