Analog Devices Inc
ADIAnalog Devices Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Goodwill of 26.9B is 80% of equity (33.8B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-1.1B), creating impairment risk from Maxim acquisition.[Goodwill]
- Operating margin TTM of 27.2% vs industry median 2.4% - 11x advantage reflects analog's pricing power and design-in stickiness.[Operating Margin]
- FCF TTM of 4.3B (39% of revenue) with capex under 5% - capital-light model funds 3.89 dividend at 72% payout ratio.[Free Cash Flow]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin: Falls below 55% — Signals pricing power erosion or mix shift to lower-margin products
- Inventory: Exceeds 18% of revenue — Indicates demand weakness requiring production cuts
- Free Cash Flow: Falls below 3B annually — Threatens dividend sustainability at current 1.9B annual payout
Bull Case
Analog semiconductor leader with 61% gross margin TTM and 11x operating margin advantage - design wins create 7-10 year revenue visibility with minimal customer churn.
FCF yield of 3.1% (4.3B/138B) with 0.26 debt/equity supports dividend growth - 5Y payout ratio of 72% sustainable given cash generation.
Bear Case
P/E of 59.7x is 84% premium to industry median (32.4x) - requires sustained growth that cycle dynamics may not support near-term.
Negative tangible book (-1.1B) from 27B goodwill - any Maxim synergy shortfall or end-market weakness triggers write-down risk.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Margin compression likely as 5Y revenue CAGR (15%) outpaces current cycle - inventory normalization ongoing.
- Inventory at 1.7B (15% of revenue) elevated vs history
- Industrial/auto end markets cyclically softening
- R&D at 16% of revenue sustains competitive moat
Public Strategies Rankings
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ADI Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$137.32B | — | ||
$143.48B | — | ||
60 | — | ||
$11.02B | +16.9% | — | |
$4.68 | +39.7% | — | |
27.3% | +5.3% | — | |
20.6% | +3.2% | — | |
$4.28B | +37.0% | — | |
0.07 | +1.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ADI Dividend History
ADI Stock Splits
ADI SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/25/25 | 11/01/25 | Unknown | |
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