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Alkermes PLC

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Alkermes PLC AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-17

Snapshot

  • ROE of 22.4% TTM vs industry median of -38% - profitable outlier in loss-making biotech sector[Return on Equity]
  • FCF of 491M TTM (32% margin) with only 72M total debt - self-funding growth with 0.04 debt/equity[Free Cash Flow]
  • Operating margin 23.6% TTM vs industry median of 0% - rare profitability in R&D-heavy pharma[Operating Margin]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin: Falls below 20% TTMWould signal pricing pressure or R&D cost inflation eroding core advantage
  • Free Cash Flow: Drops below 400M TTMIndicates deteriorating conversion or increased capex needs
  • R&D Expense: Exceeds 25% of revenueMay signal pipeline issues requiring accelerated investment

Bull Case

Exceptional capital efficiency: ROIC 19.6% TTM with near-zero leverage (0.04 D/E) in an industry where median company loses money

ROICDebt to EquityROE

FCF conversion of 91% (491M FCF vs 541M operating CF TTM) with capex under 4% of revenue enables buybacks or M&A

Free Cash FlowCapital ExpenditureCash Flow

Bear Case

P/E of 16.4x near industry median (20.3x) despite superior margins - limited multiple expansion potential

P/E RatioP/S Ratio

Revenue of 1.5B TTM concentrated in specialty pharma - single product risk not visible in aggregates

Total RevenueGross Margin

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
62%

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Forward Thesis

Cash generation to accelerate as R&D (19% of revenue) yields pipeline optionality

1-3ymed
  • 491M FCF TTM funds internal R&D without dilution
  • 616M cash provides M&A flexibility
  • Minimal debt (72M) preserves balance sheet
R&D 289M TTM vs 491M FCF - fully fundedWorking capital 1.3B provides cushionROIC 19.6% TTM shows capital efficiency

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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