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Aeluma Inc

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Aeluma Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Cash of 25.9M covers 6.7 years of burn at -3.8M net loss TTM - no near-term dilution pressure despite pre-profit stage[Cash and Equivalents]
  • Gross margin 59% TTM vs industry median 42% - premium pricing power in semiconductor materials despite sub-scale revenue of 5.6M[Gross Margin TTM]
  • P/S of 52.6x vs industry median 3.0x - valuation embeds 17x premium requiring massive revenue scale-up to justify[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue >2M (annualized >8M)Would signal commercial traction needed to justify premium valuation
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 15MWould reduce runway to <4 years, raising dilution risk
  • Gross Margin TTM: Drops below 50%Would indicate pricing pressure eroding competitive moat

Bull Case

59% gross margin with 25.9M cash provides 6+ year runway to scale without dilution - rare for pre-profit semiconductor

Gross Margin TTMCash and EquivalentsNet Income TTM

Debt/equity of 0.03 with 40.9M equity vs 1.2M debt - balance sheet optionality for M&A or capacity expansion

Debt to EquityTotal DebtCommon Stockholders Equity

Bear Case

52x P/S requires 17x revenue growth to reach industry median - current 1.9% growth implies 45+ years to justify valuation

P/S RatioTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Operating loss of -3.0M TTM on 5.6M revenue (-54% margin) - path to profitability unclear at current scale

Operating Income TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Revenue must reach 15-20M within 2 years for valuation to normalize to industry P/S levels

1-3ymed
  • Current 5.6M TTM revenue at 52x P/S vs 3x median
  • 1.9% revenue growth insufficient to close gap
  • 23.4M recent capital raise signals expansion push
P/S 52.6x vs median 3.0xRevenue growth 1.9% 1YIssuance of capital stock 23.4M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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