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Autoliv Inc

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Autoliv Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-17

Snapshot

  • ROIC of 16.0% TTM vs industry median 1.0% - capital efficiency 16x peers despite capital-intensive auto supply business[Return on Invested Capital]
  • Negative working capital (-195M) with 2.4B receivables vs 1.9B payables - supplier leverage funds operations[Working Capital]
  • EPS growth 3Y CAGR 23.5% vs industry 9.0% median while P/E 13.0x sits below industry 22.8x - growth discount[EPS Growth 3Y]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 9%Would signal cost absorption failing as volumes shift - margin thesis invalidated
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative for 2 consecutive quarters571M FCF funds dividends and buybacks - negative FCF forces capital allocation reset
  • Accounts Receivable: DSO exceeds 90 days2.4B receivables (81 days) - extension signals OEM payment stress

Bull Case

ROE 31.1% TTM with 0.86 debt/equity - generating equity-like returns without excessive leverage in cyclical industry

ROE TTMDebt to Equity

P/E 13.0x at 23.5% EPS growth implies PEG of 0.55 - deep value if growth sustains through auto cycle

P/E RatioEPS Growth 3Y

Bear Case

Goodwill 1.4B is 54% of equity - acquisition-driven growth carries impairment risk in downturn

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsCommon Stockholders Equity

Cash 225M vs 654M current debt - thin liquidity buffer if auto production volumes decline sharply

Cash and EquivalentsCurrent Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion to continue as R&D leverage improves on stable 10.6B revenue base

1-3ymed
  • R&D at 3.7% of revenue vs 4%+ historically
  • Operating margin 10.6% TTM trending up
  • Asset turnover 1.27x maximizing fixed cost leverage
Net margin 7.1% TTM vs industry 0.6% medianEBITDA 1.5B on 8.6B cost baseFCF 571M TTM despite 462M capex

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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