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American Superconductor Corp

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American Superconductor Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-13

Snapshot

  • Net margin TTM 46.7% vs industry median 4.2% - 11x advantage driven by non-operating gains (130.5M net income on 19.6M pretax)[Net Margin TTM]
  • Goodwill 166.4M is 31% of equity and 46% of tangible book - acquisition-dependent balance sheet[Goodwill]
  • Revenue 3Y CAGR 46.1% vs industry median 3.2% - 14x faster growth with debt/equity at 0.02[Total Revenue 3Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Sustained above 8%Would validate operating leverage thesis; currently 4.9% is below industry median 6.7%
  • Inventory: Growth exceeds revenue growth for 2+ quarters105M inventory (38% of revenue) - buildup without sales signals demand weakness
  • Net Income TTM: Drops toward pretax income levels130M vs 20M pretax gap must normalize; P/E would spike to 70+ on operating earnings

Bull Case

Fortress balance sheet: 141M cash, 11M debt (0.02 D/E), 203M working capital enables aggressive growth without dilution

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsWorking Capital

Revenue acceleration (3Y CAGR 46% vs 5Y 26%) with ROIC 35% indicates scalable business model hitting inflection

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthROIC TTMEPS Growth 1Y

Bear Case

P/S 5.5x vs median 2.2x and PCF 76x vs median 18x - priced for perfection on unsustainable earnings

PS RatioPCF RatioNet Margin TTM

FCF 16M on 1.5B market cap (1% yield) with 105M inventory buildup signals cash conversion weakness

Free Cash Flow TTMInventoryPCF Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Operating margins likely to compress as one-time gains normalize to pretax levels

3-12mhigh
  • Net income 130.5M vs pretax 19.6M signals non-recurring items
  • Operating margin 4.9% is true run-rate profitability
  • P/E of 11.3 assumes current earnings sustainable
Net margin 46.7% vs operating margin 4.9%Pretax income 19.6M vs net income 130.5MIndustry median net margin 4.2%

Revenue growth momentum sustainable given grid modernization tailwinds

1-3ymed
  • 3Y CAGR 46.1% with improving gross margin 30.6%
  • R&D at 15.1M (5.4% of revenue) funds product pipeline
  • Working capital 203M supports growth without debt
5Y CAGR 25.8% accelerating to 46.1% 3YCash 141M with minimal debt 11.4MEPS growth 1Y at 42.7%

Valuation Context

Caveats

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