AutoNation Inc
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AutoNation Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Debt/equity of 3.9x with 9.8B total debt vs 2.5B equity; interest expense (437M TTM) consumes 34% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
- Negative FCF (-178M TTM) despite 663M net income; 3.5B inventory consuming cash while working capital is -1.2B[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- ROE of 27% TTM vs industry median 13% driven by 3.9x leverage, not operational superiority[Return on Equity TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 450M or >40% of EBIT — Signals debt servicing stress; current 437M already elevated at 33% of EBIT
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Remains negative for 2+ consecutive quarters — Negative FCF with 4.5B current debt creates liquidity risk
- Inventory: Exceeds 3.8B or days inventory rises >15% — 3.5B inventory already straining cash; further buildup signals demand weakness
Bull Case
P/E of 11.2x vs industry 14.2x median with EPS of $19.08 TTM; trading at discount despite 27% ROE and 2.1x asset turnover
Revenue 27.9B (2.3x industry median) with operating margin 4.6% at industry median; scale provides negotiating leverage
Bear Case
Tangible book value only 105M (4% of equity) with goodwill 1.4B; 56% of equity is intangibles vulnerable to impairment
5Y revenue CAGR 5.4% trails industry median 9.9%; negative FCF (-178M) limits strategic flexibility and buybacks
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Leverage-driven model faces refinancing risk as 4.5B current debt matures amid elevated rates
- Current debt 4.5B vs 98M cash
- Interest expense 437M already 34% of EBIT
- Net debt 9.3B at 3.7x equity
Inventory normalization could unlock 200-400M FCF if turns improve from current levels
- 3.5B inventory vs 351M payables
- Negative working capital structure
- Capex declining to 289M TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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AN Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$7.53B | — | ||
$17.65B | — | ||
12 | — | ||
$27.63B | +3.2% | — | |
$17.04 | +22.2% | — | |
4.74% | +0.2% | — | |
2.35% | -0.2% | — | |
$-197.5M | — | ||
27.1% | -2.6% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
AN Dividend History
AN Stock Splits
AN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
02/12/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
10/23/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
07/25/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
04/25/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/14/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
10/25/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/01/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
04/26/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/16/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
10/27/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
07/21/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
04/20/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/17/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
10/27/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
07/21/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
04/21/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/17/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
10/21/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
07/21/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
04/22/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/16/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
10/21/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
07/23/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/11/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/18/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
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07/23/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
04/26/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/22/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
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08/01/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
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02/15/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/02/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
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04/25/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
02/09/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
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02/11/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
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04/25/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/13/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
10/21/11 | 09/30/11 | 10-Q | |
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04/26/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/15/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
10/28/10 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
07/22/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
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02/17/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
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04/24/09 | 03/30/09 | 10-Q | |
02/17/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-K | |
11/07/08 | 09/30/08 | 10-Q | |
07/25/08 | 06/30/08 | 10-Q | |
04/25/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/08 | 12/31/07 | 10-K | |
10/25/07 | 09/30/07 | 10-Q | |
07/27/07 | 06/30/07 | 10-Q | |
04/27/07 | 03/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/07 | 12/31/06 | 10-K | |
10/27/06 | 09/30/06 | 10-Q | |
07/28/06 | 06/30/06 | 10-Q | |
04/28/06 | 03/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
03/03/06 | 12/31/05 | 10-K | |
11/07/05 | 09/30/05 | 10-Q | |
07/29/05 | 06/30/05 | 10-Q | |
04/29/05 | 03/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
02/24/05 | 12/31/04 | 10-K | |
10/28/04 | 09/30/04 | 10-Q | |
07/29/04 | 06/30/04 | 10-Q | |
04/29/04 | 03/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
03/10/04 | 12/31/03 | 10-K | |
10/30/03 | 09/30/03 | 10-Q | |
07/24/03 | 06/30/03 | 8-K | |
04/29/03 | 03/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
02/28/03 | 12/31/02 | 10-K | |
10/24/02 | 09/30/02 | 10-Q | |
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05/03/02 | 03/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
03/28/02 | 12/31/01 | 10-K405 | |
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05/14/01 | 03/31/01 | 3 | |
03/30/01 | 12/31/00 | 10-K | |
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08/14/00 | 06/30/00 | 8-K | |
05/15/00 | 03/30/00 | Unknown | -- |