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Amphenol Corp

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Amphenol Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-09

Snapshot

  • EPS growth 91% (1yr) vs revenue growth implied by 21B TTM - massive operating leverage driving earnings expansion far beyond topline[EPS Growth 1yr]
  • ROIC 21.5% TTM on 20.6B invested capital while industry median is negative - exceptional capital allocation in commoditized sector[ROIC TTM]
  • Goodwill 9.9B is 79% of 12.5B equity - M&A-driven growth creates impairment risk if acquired businesses underperform[Goodwill]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 22%Margin compression would signal pricing power erosion or mix shift to lower-value products
  • EPS Growth 1yr: Decelerates below 15%Current 45x P/E requires sustained earnings growth; deceleration triggers multiple compression
  • Goodwill: Impairment charge announcedWould directly reduce 12.5B equity base and signal M&A strategy failure

Bull Case

Best-in-class profitability: 24.6% operating margin is 120x industry median, with 21.5% ROIC proving pricing power across connector portfolio

Operating Margin TTMROIC TTMNet Margin TTM

Strong FCF generation: 3.6B FCF TTM at 17% yield on invested capital funds dividends, buybacks, and bolt-on M&A without leverage strain

Free Cash Flow TTMDebt to EquityCash Flow TTM

Bear Case

Premium valuation: P/E 45.6x vs industry 28.8x median and P/S 8.5x vs 2.1x leaves no margin of safety if growth decelerates

PE RatioPS RatioPCF Ratio

Acquisition dependency: 9.9B goodwill (79% of equity) means tangible book is only 669M - integration missteps would crush equity value

GoodwillTangible Book ValueCommon Stockholders Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion likely to continue as AI/datacom mix shift accelerates high-value product revenue

1-3ymed
  • Operating margin 24.6% TTM vs industry median -0.2%
  • 5yr EPS CAGR 28% exceeds revenue growth trajectory
  • FCF conversion 79% of operating cash flow
Net margin 18.2% TTM vs industry 0.2%Gross margin 35.9% stable despite scaleCapex only 4.5% of revenue TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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