Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp
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Algonquin Power & Utilities Corp AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- FCF TTM is -359M despite 466M operating cash flow - capex of 825M (35% of revenue) consuming all cash generation[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- Debt/equity at 1.44x with interest expense of 307M TTM consuming 59% of EBIT (522M) - thin coverage[Debt to Equity]
- Goodwill of 1.3B is 29% of equity - impairment risk given negative net income of -27M TTM[Goodwill]
Watch Triggers
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive (>0) — Would signal capex cycle ending and dividend becoming self-funded
- Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 350M or >70% of EBIT — Would indicate debt service crowding out reinvestment capacity
- Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below 0.20 — Dividend cut would signal management acknowledging FCF constraints
Bull Case
Gross margin of 75% TTM vs industry median 45% reflects regulated utility pricing power with stable revenue base of 2.4B
Operating margin 21.6% TTM vs industry median -10.5% shows cost discipline; once capex cycle ends, FCF could flip positive
Bear Case
Net debt of 6.4B exceeds market cap (4.8B) by 33%; interest expense at 307M TTM leaves minimal cushion if rates rise
ROIC of -0.2% TTM and ROE of -0.6% TTM indicate capital destruction; 10.9B invested capital generating losses
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Dividend sustainability at risk - 5yr payout ratio of 207% requires capex reduction or asset sales
- Negative FCF of -359M cannot fund 51M annual dividends
- Debt of 6.4B limits refinancing flexibility
- Capex intensity must decline from 35% of revenue
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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AQN Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$4.82B | — | ||
$11.19B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$2.39B | -8.7% | — | |
$-0.03 | -77.5% | — | |
21.6% | +3.5% | — | |
-1.11% | +37.4% | — | |
$-359.3M | — | ||
-0.58% | +20.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
AQN Dividend History
2026
$0.06502025
$0.33582024
$0.41042023
$0.47522022
$0.71302021
$0.66692020
$0.60632019
$0.55122018
$0.50112017
$0.46602016
$0.84672015
$0.86292014
$0.55522013
$0.33252012
$0.07752011
$0.27002010
$0.0600AQN Stock Splits
AQN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
11/07/25 | 09/30/25 | 6-K | |
08/08/25 | 06/30/25 | 6-K | |
05/09/25 | 03/31/25 | 6-K | |
03/07/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
11/07/24 | 09/30/24 | 6-K | |
08/09/24 | 06/30/24 | 6-K | |
05/10/24 | 03/31/24 | 6-K | |
03/08/24 | 12/31/23 | 40-F | |
11/13/23 | 09/30/23 | 6-K | |
08/10/23 | 06/30/23 | 6-K | |
05/11/23 | 03/31/23 | 6-K | |
03/17/23 | 12/31/22 | 40-F | |
11/14/22 | 09/30/22 | 6-K | |
08/12/22 | 06/30/22 | 6-K | |
05/13/22 | 03/31/22 | 6-K | |
03/04/22 | 12/31/21 | 40-F | |
11/12/21 | 09/30/21 | 6-K | |
08/13/21 | 06/30/21 | 6-K | |
05/07/21 | 03/31/21 | 6-K | |
03/05/21 | 12/31/20 | 40-F | |
11/13/20 | 09/30/20 | 6-K | |
08/14/20 | 06/30/20 | 6-K | |
05/08/20 | 03/31/20 | 6-K | |
02/28/20 | 12/31/19 | 40-F | |
11/08/19 | 09/30/19 | 6-K | |
08/09/19 | 06/30/19 | 6-K | |
05/10/19 | 03/31/19 | 6-K | |
02/28/19 | 12/31/18 | 40-F | |
11/09/18 | 09/30/18 | 6-K | |
08/10/18 | 06/30/18 | 6-K | |
05/10/18 | 03/31/18 | 6-K | |
03/08/18 | 12/31/17 | 40-F | |
11/14/17 | 09/30/17 | 6-K | |
08/11/17 | 06/30/17 | 6-K | |
05/12/17 | 03/31/17 | 6-K | |
03/10/17 | 12/31/16 | 40-F | |
11/14/16 | 09/30/16 | 6-K | |
08/12/16 | 06/30/16 | 6-K | |
05/13/16 | 03/31/16 | 6-K | |
03/14/16 | 12/31/15 | 40-F | |
11/06/15 | 09/30/15 | 6-K | |
08/14/15 | 06/30/15 | 6-K | |
05/08/15 | 03/31/15 | 6-K | |
03/16/15 | 12/31/14 | 40-F | |
11/14/14 | 09/30/14 | 6-K | |
08/14/14 | 06/30/14 | 6-K | |
05/13/14 | 03/31/14 | 6-K | |
03/14/14 | 12/31/13 | 40-F | |
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