Arrive AI Inc
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Arrive AI Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- TTM revenue of 98K with -9.4M operating loss - burning 96x revenue annually. Cash runway under 2 months at current burn.[Total Revenue TTM]
- P/S ratio of 1,263x vs industry median 3.9x - priced for 300x revenue growth that doesn't exist yet.[P/S Ratio]
- Current debt of 4.0M vs 817K cash with 5.6M TTM cash burn - imminent dilution or restructuring required.[Current Debt]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 500K — Would signal weeks, not months, to capital event - equity likely to be heavily diluted
- Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 1M quarterly — Would indicate commercial traction that could justify valuation and attract capital
- Issuance of Capital Stock: New equity raise announced — Terms will reveal market's true view of equity value - expect significant dilution
Bull Case
Market cap of 124M implies optionality value - if AI pivot gains traction, 98K revenue base means any contract is transformative.
Working capital of 4.2M and tangible book of 4.4M provide some liquidation floor vs 124M market cap.
Bear Case
Operating margin of -96% with near-zero revenue means business model is unproven. R&D of 411K is 4x revenue.
Debt/equity of 0.87 with 4.0M current debt vs 817K cash - balance sheet cannot support operations past Q1.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Capital raise or strategic transaction required within 6 months to avoid insolvency
- Cash of 817K vs monthly burn ~450K
- Current debt 4.0M coming due
- No path to profitability at 98K revenue
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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ARAI Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$23.62M | — | ||
$27.79M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$113,250 | — | ||
$-0.40 | — | ||
-9,054% | -9053.9% | — | |
-11,326% | -11325.7% | — | |
$-8.75M | — | ||
-1,719% | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
ARAI Dividend History
ARAI Stock Splits
ARAI SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
04/15/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/14/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
04/15/26 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q/A | |
08/14/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
06/05/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
05/15/25 | 12/31/24 | 424B4 | |
04/15/26 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q/A | |
12/23/24 | 09/30/24 | S-1 | |
08/14/25 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
04/15/26 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q/A | |
06/05/25 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
05/15/25 | 12/31/23 | 424B4 | |
12/23/24 | 12/31/23 | S-1 | |
12/23/24 | 09/30/23 | S-1 | |
01/29/24 | 09/30/23 | F-4 | |
01/29/24 | 12/31/22 | F-4 | |
05/15/25 | 12/31/22 | 424B4 | |
01/29/24 | 09/30/22 | F-4 |