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Ascent Solar Technologies Inc

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Ascent Solar Technologies Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Burning 6.7M FCF TTM against 2.1M cash - ~4 months runway without dilution. Issued 1M in new stock already.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Gross margin -133% TTM (cost 142K vs revenue 61K) - selling product at massive loss, no path to unit economics visible.[Gross Margin TTM]
  • R&D spend 2.4M is 39x revenue (61K TTM) - pre-commercial stage despite being public. P/S of 164x vs median 3x.[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 1M or new equity filingAt current burn, triggers survival-mode financing within 2-3 months
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 500K quarterlyWould signal first real commercial traction - currently negligible
  • Gross Margin TTM: Turns positiveCurrently -133%; positive margin is minimum viability threshold

Bull Case

Thin-film solar tech has niche aerospace/defense applications. 442K inventory and 1.7M PPE suggest manufacturing capability exists if demand materializes.

InventoryPPE

Debt/equity 0.61 is manageable; tangible book 2.6M provides some liquidation floor vs 10M market cap.

Debt to EquityTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Operating loss 7.2M TTM is 118x revenue - company loses $118 for every $1 sold. No viable business model evident.

Operating Margin TTMOperating Income TTM

Zero accounts receivable with 61K revenue signals no real commercial traction. Speculative technology play with imminent funding crisis.

Accounts ReceivableTotal Revenue TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
15%

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Forward Thesis

Dilution or bankruptcy within 12 months absent major contract or capital raise

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn rate of 6.6M/yr vs 2.1M cash
  • No accounts receivable suggests no customer pipeline
  • Already tapped equity markets (1M issuance)
FCF -6.7M TTM, Cash 2.1MA/R is 0, Revenue only 61K TTMStock issuance 1M in period

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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