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Asure Software Inc

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Asure Software Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Intangibles of 208M represent 108% of equity - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-14.9M), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • CapEx of 37.2M TTM (28% of revenue) vs industry median 5.1M - heavy investment phase burning FCF (-16.5M)[Capital Expenditure TTM]
  • Gross margin 67% TTM vs industry median 51% - strong unit economics despite operating losses (-9.6% margin)[Gross Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Drops below 15M annuallyWould flip FCF positive given 20.7M operating cash flow - key inflection signal
  • Operating Income TTM: Turns positiveValidates operating leverage thesis and path to sustainable profitability
  • Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets: Any impairment charge announcedWould wipe out remaining equity given negative tangible book value

Bull Case

67% gross margin with 132M revenue provides path to profitability - operating leverage kicks in if CapEx normalizes to industry levels

Gross Margin TTMOperating Cash Flow TTM

P/S of 1.9x vs industry median 2.7x offers discount despite superior gross margins, pricing in current losses

P/S RatioGross Margin TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible equity (-14.9M) with 77M debt - goodwill impairment would devastate balance sheet and equity value

Tangible Book ValueGoodwill and Other Intangible AssetsTotal Debt

Sustained operating losses (-12.7M TTM) with ROE of -8.7% and ROIC of -7.1% - destroying shareholder value currently

Operating Income TTMROE TTMROIC TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

CapEx-heavy investment phase should normalize, potentially flipping FCF positive within 12-18 months

1-3ylow
  • Operating cash flow positive at 20.7M TTM
  • CapEx at 7x industry median unsustainable
  • Gross margins support profitability at scale
CFO of 20.7M vs FCF of -16.5M TTMCapEx 37.2M vs median 5.1M67% gross margin provides cushion

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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