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Alphatec Holdings Inc

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Alphatec Holdings Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 51.4x with 591M total debt vs 11.5M equity - capital structure severely strained, interest expense 40M TTM consuming cash[Debt to Equity]
  • 5Y revenue CAGR of 36.7% (3.5x industry median 10.4%) driving 728M TTM revenue, but still burning -155M net income TTM[Total Revenue 5Y Growth]
  • Gross margin 69.2% TTM vs industry median 52.8% - premium pricing power intact despite losses, 16.4pp advantage[Gross Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns positive for 2 consecutive quartersWould signal operating leverage inflection and reduce capital raise risk
  • Operating Margin TTM: Improves to -5% or betterDemonstrates path to profitability without requiring further dilution
  • Total Debt: Increases above 650M or refinancing announcedCurrent 591M debt at 51x equity already strained; more debt increases insolvency risk

Bull Case

36.7% 5Y revenue CAGR in spine surgery market with 69% gross margins suggests differentiated technology gaining share - scale could unlock profitability

Total Revenue 5Y GrowthGross Margin TTM

Asset turnover 0.95x vs industry 0.55x median shows efficient capital deployment; 219M working capital provides operational runway

Asset Turnover TTMWorking Capital

Bear Case

51x debt/equity with -160M tangible book value and 40M annual interest expense creates existential refinancing risk if growth stalls

Debt to EquityTangible Book ValueInterest Expense TTM

FCF -3.4M TTM with 156M cash runway and 65M current debt due - dilution or debt raise likely within 18 months

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and EquivalentsCurrent Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Path to profitability hinges on operating leverage as revenue scales past 800M threshold

1-3ylow
  • 69% gross margins provide cushion for OpEx absorption
  • Operating expense 577M TTM needs revenue scale to cover
  • R&D 77M (10.6% of revenue) signals continued investment phase
Operating margin -10.1% TTM improving from deeper lossesRevenue 728M TTM with 36.7% 5Y CAGR trajectoryEBITDA -31M TTM narrowing toward breakeven

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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