Baxter International Inc
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Baxter International Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Tangible book value is -3.0B with goodwill at 5.4B (75% of equity) - balance sheet heavily dependent on intangible valuations[Tangible Book Value]
- Interest expense of 321M TTM exceeds operating income of 411M - debt service consuming 78% of operating profit[Interest Expense]
- EPS collapsed 99.8% YoY (TTM) with net loss of -341M despite 11B revenue - profitability crisis underway[EPS Growth 1Y]
Watch Triggers
- Operating Margin TTM: Rises above 8% — Would indicate cost restructuring success and path to covering interest expense
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 200M or turns negative — Current 230M FCF barely covers dividend; decline signals forced capital actions
- Goodwill: Impairment charge announced — 5.4B goodwill vs 7.2B equity - material writedown would trigger equity concerns
Bull Case
Trading at 0.85x P/S with 11B revenue base - deep value if margins normalize to industry median operating margin of -5%
R&D spend of 603M (5.5% of revenue) sustains product pipeline; gross margin 34% shows pricing power intact
Bear Case
ROIC of -1.8% TTM destroying shareholder value; 9.7B debt at rising rates could trigger covenant issues
5-year EPS CAGR of -79% signals structural decline, not cyclical - turnaround thesis lacks evidence
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Debt burden will force asset sales or dividend cut within 12-18 months absent margin recovery
- Debt/equity at 1.34x with 9.7B total debt
- FCF of 230M barely covers 350M annual dividend
- Operating margin at 3.7% vs 34% gross margin
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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BAX Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$8.56B | — | ||
$16.37B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$11.24B | +5.7% | — | |
$-1.87 | — | ||
1.57% | -2.6% | — | |
-8.51% | -2.4% | — | |
$323.0M | -42.2% | — | |
-14.6% | -6.2% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
BAX Dividend History
2026
$0.01002025
$0.52002024
$1.04002023
$1.16002022
$1.15002021
$1.08502020
$0.95502019
$0.85002018
$0.73002017
$0.61002016
$0.50502015
$1.27002014
$2.05002013
$1.92002012
$1.57002011
$1.26502010
$1.18002009
$1.07002008
$0.91252007
$0.72002006
$0.58202005
$0.58202004
$0.58202003
$0.58202002
$0.58202001
$0.58202000
$0.5820BAX Stock Splits
BAX SEC Filings
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|---|---|---|---|
02/12/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
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05/12/00 | 03/31/00 | 8-K |