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Biglari Holdings Inc

BH.A

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Biglari Holdings Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • FCF of 81.1M TTM is 4.8x industry median (16.8M) despite revenue 57% below median - capital-light cash engine[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Net margin 0.5% TTM vs industry median 2.3% - 81M FCF masks weak bottom-line profitability[Net Margin TTM]
  • Cash of 272M (25% of assets) with 217M net debt issuance - balance sheet restructuring in progress[Cash and Equivalents]

Watch Triggers

  • ROIC TTM: Rises above 3% (industry median)Would signal capital allocation improvement - currently at 0.25% vs 3% median
  • Total Revenue TTM: Returns to positive 3Y growth above 5%Current 2.7% 3Y growth masks -0.4% 5Y trend; reversal needed for multiple expansion
  • Net Margin TTM: Exceeds 2% (approaching industry median)Would close gap between FCF and earnings, validating cash quality

Bull Case

FCF yield exceptional: 81M FCF on 580M equity (14% yield) with 272M cash buffer provides optionality for buybacks or acquisitions

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and EquivalentsCommon Stockholders Equity

Gross margin 38% TTM vs industry 26% median - 46% advantage indicates pricing power in restaurant segment

Gross Margin TTM

Bear Case

ROE 0.35% and ROIC 0.25% TTM are 95%+ below industry medians - capital allocation destroying value despite FCF generation

ROE TTMROIC TTM

Revenue declined -0.4% 5Y CAGR vs industry +8.4% median - structural shrinkage in core business

Total Revenue 5yr Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

FCF-to-net income disconnect suggests hidden value or accounting complexity requiring resolution

1-3ymed
  • 81M FCF vs 2M net income (39x gap)
  • 14M investment gains distorting P&L
  • Negative pretax income despite positive operating income
FCF margin 21% vs net margin 0.5% TTMInterest expense 8.5M consuming operating incomePretax income -1.6M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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