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Badger Meter Inc

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Badger Meter Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Zero debt with 21.5% ROE TTM and 21.5% ROIC - pure equity-funded returns vastly exceed industry median of -0.4%[ROE / ROIC]
  • Revenue 5Y CAGR 15.7% vs industry median 5.1% while operating margin TTM 19.9% is 8x industry median 2.4%[Revenue Growth + Operating Margin]
  • FCF TTM 166M (18.5% of revenue) with capex only 15M - capital-light model generates 92% FCF conversion from operating cash[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 17%Would signal pricing pressure or cost inflation eroding competitive moat
  • Revenue Growth 3Y: Decelerates below 10%Premium valuation requires sustained double-digit growth to justify P/E
  • Goodwill: Increases >50% of equityM&A-driven growth shifts risk profile and dilutes ROIC

Bull Case

Debt-free balance sheet with 202M cash (20% of market cap) and 166M annual FCF enables M&A or accelerated buybacks without dilution risk

Debt to EquityCash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTM

EPS 3Y CAGR 25% vs revenue 3Y CAGR 17% shows operating leverage - each revenue dollar increasingly profitable

EPS Growth 3YRevenue Growth 3YOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

P/E 37.8x and P/B 15.3x price in perfection - any growth deceleration or margin compression punishes stock severely

PE RatioPB RatioPS Ratio

Goodwill 237M is 34% of equity and 67% of tangible book - prior acquisitions carry impairment risk if integration falters

GoodwillTangible Book ValueCommon Stockholders Equity

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
60%

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Forward Thesis

Smart water infrastructure demand to sustain 12-15% revenue growth as utilities modernize aging systems

1-3ymed
  • US water infrastructure bill funding deployment 2024-2028
  • AMI/smart meter replacement cycle accelerating
  • SaaS software attach rate expanding margins
5Y revenue CAGR 15.7% already establishedOperating margin expanded to 19.9% TTMZero acquisition spend in period - organic growth

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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