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Boxlight Corp

BOXL

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Boxlight Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-13

Snapshot

  • Negative equity of -19.5M with 44.5M total debt creates existential balance sheet risk; tangible book value -39M.[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • Revenue declined 19% YoY and -25% 3Y CAGR while burning 27M operating loss TTM - accelerating deterioration.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • Current debt of 36.7M vs 11.8M cash with 68.4M current liabilities against 69.9M current assets - liquidity crisis imminent.[Current Debt]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 5M or debt covenant breachAt current burn, sub-5M cash triggers going concern; 36.7M current debt refinancing critical
  • Issuance of Capital Stock: New equity raise announcedMassive dilution likely given 767K market cap; terms will signal survival probability
  • Total Revenue TTM: Stabilizes or returns to growthRevenue decline must reverse for any turnaround thesis; -19% YoY unsustainable

Bull Case

Gross margin of 32.6% shows viable product economics if scale returns; 5Y revenue CAGR was +25% before recent decline.

Gross Margin TTMTotal Revenue 5Y Growth

Market cap of 767K implies near-zero enterprise value expectations - any turnaround creates asymmetric upside.

Market Cap TTMEnterprise Value

Bear Case

Negative equity (-19.5M), 3x debt-to-assets, and 36.7M current debt due with only 11.8M cash = imminent dilution or default.

Total EquityCurrent DebtCash and Equivalents

Revenue shrinking 19% YoY with -27M operating loss means no organic path to profitability; interest expense 10.3M exceeds EBITDA.

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthOperating Income TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
15%

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Forward Thesis

Without capital raise or restructuring, BOXL faces insolvency within 12 months

3-12mhigh
  • Negative equity with 44.5M debt load
  • Operating losses of 27M/year consuming cash
  • 36.7M current debt coming due
Cash 11.8M vs current debt 36.7MFCF -0.5M TTM, cash flow -0.2MAlready issued 5.5M equity TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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