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Boyd Gaming Corp

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Boyd Gaming Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-31

Snapshot

  • ROE of 87% TTM vs industry median 6% - 14x advantage driven by asset-light regional casino model with high operating leverage[Return on Equity]
  • P/E of 3.6x TTM vs industry median 21x - trading at 83% discount despite superior profitability metrics[P/E Ratio]
  • Net margin 46% TTM includes 1.7B other income - normalized margin closer to 17%, still 8x industry median[Net Margin]

Watch Triggers

  • Other Income/Expense: Drops below 500M annually1.7B TTM inflates net income - normalization reveals true earnings power
  • Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets: Impairment charges appear2.3B intangibles vs 327M tangible book - impairment destroys equity
  • Free Cash Flow: Falls below 300M TTM412M FCF funds debt paydown and 0.71 dividend - compression limits both

Bull Case

ROIC of 35% TTM vs industry 2.6% median - capital allocation excellence with 13x advantage generates compounding value

ROICROEROA

Extreme valuation discount at 3.6x P/E and 1.7x P/S vs 21x and 1.5x medians - market pricing in risks already reflected

P/E RatioP/S RatioEnterprise Value

Bear Case

Goodwill/intangibles of 2.3B is 88% of equity - acquisition-heavy strategy creates material impairment risk in downturn

Goodwill and Other Intangible AssetsCommon Stockholders Equity

Negative working capital of -468M and 0.96x debt/equity constrains flexibility if gaming demand weakens

Working CapitalDebt to EquityCurrent Liabilities

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
60%

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Forward Thesis

Debt reduction to accelerate as 1.7B debt paydown in TTM signals deleveraging priority

1-3yhigh
  • 963M operating cash flow TTM funds debt reduction
  • Debt/equity at 0.96x down from higher levels
  • Interest expense 178M compressing
Net debt paydown 1.7B TTMFCF 412M after 551M capexLong-term debt 2.5B vs 319M cash

Valuation Context

Caveats

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