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Blaize Holdings��Inc

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Blaize Holdings��Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Cash burn of -24.3M TTM against 24M cash on hand implies ~12 months runway without financing[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • P/S ratio of 17.8x vs industry median 2.7x despite -338% operating margin and 15% gross margin[P/S Ratio]
  • Equity nearly wiped out at 1.3M vs 59.6M liabilities - debt/equity at 2.4x with minimal tangible assets[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 15MWould signal <6 months runway, forcing emergency financing at distressed terms
  • Gross Margin: Rises above 25%Would indicate product mix shift or pricing power enabling path to sustainability
  • Operating Expense TTM: Declines below 35MWould show restructuring success and extend runway meaningfully

Bull Case

Revenue growing 14% 1Y with 3.8M restructuring charges suggesting cost rationalization underway - if successful, path to reduced burn exists

Total Revenue 1Y GrowthRestructuring and M&A

Working capital positive at 18M with 13.6M receivables suggests customer traction; inventory 8.8M indicates product demand

Working CapitalAccounts ReceivableInventory

Bear Case

Existential liquidity risk: 24M cash with -24M annual burn and 1.3M equity leaves zero margin for error or dilutive raise

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTMTotal Equity

Valuation disconnected from fundamentals: 17.8x P/S for company burning 180% of revenue annually with 15% gross margin

P/S RatioGross MarginOperating Margin TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Capital raise required within 12 months or operational restructuring to survive

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn -24.3M/yr exceeds cash position 24M
  • Equity cushion exhausted at 1.3M
  • No debt capacity with 2.4x leverage
FCF TTM: -23.8MCash: 24M, declining from 28.9MTotal equity: 1.3M

Revenue growth (14% 1Y) insufficient to reach profitability at current cost structure

1-3ymed
  • OpEx 48M vs revenue 13.3M (3.6x)
  • R&D alone at 9.7M (73% of revenue)
  • Gross margin only 15%
Revenue growth 1Y: 14.2%Operating margin: -338%Gross margin: 15%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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