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Cable One Inc

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Cable One Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-09

Snapshot

  • Tangible book value is -1.4B with goodwill/intangibles at 2.8B (199% of equity) - severe impairment risk if cable valuations deteriorate further.[Tangible Book Value]
  • Net loss of -454M TTM (net margin -29.8%) vs industry median +6.6% - operating model broken despite 74% gross margins.[Net Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity of 2.3x with 3.3B total debt vs 597M market cap - equity is a call option on turnaround.[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • EBITDA TTM: Falls below 130M (interest expense level)Would signal inability to service debt, forcing restructuring or dilutive equity raise.
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative or falls below 150MFCF is only lifeline - loss would accelerate liquidity crisis timeline.
  • Total Revenue TTM: Declines more than 5% YoYHigh operating leverage means revenue decline flows directly to cash flow.

Bull Case

Trading at 0.39x P/S and 0.42x P/B - if FCF stabilizes at 300M annually, 2x P/FCF implies 100%+ upside in M&A scenario.

P/S RatioP/B RatioFree Cash Flow TTM

Gross margin 73.9% vs industry 59.5% shows infrastructure value; operating leverage exists if revenue stabilizes.

Gross Margin TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

EPS declined -41% 1Y, -26% 3Y CAGR, -15% 5Y CAGR - secular decline accelerating as cord-cutting intensifies.

EPS Growth 1yrEPS Growth 3yrEPS Growth 5yr

Interest expense (133M) nearly equals EBITDA (145M) - 0.9x coverage leaves zero margin for further deterioration.

Interest ExpenseEBITDA TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

FCF of 298M TTM (P/FCF 2.0x) provides runway despite losses, but debt maturities will force action within 18 months.

1-3ymed
  • 593M current debt due near-term
  • Interest expense 133M vs 146M EBITDA
  • Cash burn accelerating with -454M net loss
FCF TTM 298M vs market cap 597MCurrent debt 594M, long-term 2.7BCash only 167M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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