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Charter Communications Inc

CHTR

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Charter Communications Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 6.3x with 97.1B total debt vs 15.3B equity - interest expense (5.0B TTM) consumes 65% of operating income[Debt to Equity]
  • Tangible book value negative (-82.4B) due to 97.7B goodwill/intangibles representing 64% of total assets - impairment risk[Tangible Book Value]
  • P/E of 5.3x vs industry median 17.1x - trading at 69% discount despite 34.8% ROE TTM[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • EBITDA TTM: Falls below 19B (interest coverage <3.8x)Signals debt serviceability stress, potential covenant issues
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative or below 2BEliminates deleveraging optionality, forces equity dilution or asset sales
  • Total Revenue TTM: Declines >3% YoYFixed-cost leverage amplifies margin compression on revenue decline

Bull Case

Extreme valuation discount: P/E 5.3x (69% below median), P/S 0.5x, PCF 1.8x vs 6.5x median - priced for permanent decline

P/E RatioP/S RatioPCF Ratio

ROE 34.8% TTM vs industry median 7.5% demonstrates capital efficiency despite leverage - equity holders capturing spread

ROE TTMOperating Margin TTM

Bear Case

97.1B debt at 6.3x equity with 5.0B annual interest - rising rates or EBITDA decline could stress coverage (EBITDA/interest = 4.2x)

Total DebtInterest Expense TTMEBITDA TTM

Capex intensity (-11.4B TTM, 21% of revenue) compresses FCF to 8% of operating cash flow - infrastructure burden limits flexibility

Capital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

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Forward Thesis

Deleveraging via FCF will drive equity value re-rating as debt burden eases

1-3ymed
  • 4.4B FCF TTM available for debt reduction
  • 2.1B annual buybacks reducing share count
  • Operating cash flow of 15.8B covers capex 1.4x
FCF TTM 4.4B on 55.1B revenueNet debt 96.6B declining path possibleEPS 38.49 supports buyback math

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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