CLFD logo

Clearfield Inc

CLFD

Build a strategy around CLFD

Accountable AI Logo

Clearfield Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • FCF of 21.8M TTM (14.5% margin) despite -8M net loss - cash generation masks GAAP losses, 5.3% FCF yield on EV[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Revenue down -43% 3Y CAGR vs industry +0.8% median - severe demand destruction from fiber buildout slowdown[Total Revenue 3Y Growth]
  • P/E of 275x vs industry 32x median on 0.11 EPS TTM - valuation assumes massive earnings recovery not yet visible[P/E Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Accelerates above +10%Confirms fiber buildout resumption; current +2% insufficient to justify valuation
  • Inventory TTM: Drops below 35M (from 42M)Signals destocking complete; unlocks working capital and improves FCF conversion
  • Operating Margin TTM: Returns above 5%Current 1.4% margin leaves no room for error; 5%+ validates operating leverage thesis

Bull Case

Fortress balance sheet: 3.4% debt/equity, 21.5M cash, 242M tangible book (1.7x P/B) provides downside protection and M&A optionality

Debt to EquityCash and Equivalents TTMP/B Ratio TTM

Gross margin 33.7% held despite -43% 3Y revenue decline - cost structure scales, operating leverage kicks in on recovery

Gross Margin TTMTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Bear Case

Revenue -43% 3Y CAGR with only +2% 1Y recovery - fiber buildout pause may be structural, not cyclical

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

P/E 275x and P/S 2.8x on declining business - market pricing in recovery that may take years to materialize

P/E RatioP/S Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

Leverage CLFD's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

FCF-to-net-income divergence signals potential earnings inflection as inventory normalizes

1-3ylow
  • 42M inventory (28% of revenue) vs 7M payables creates working capital drag
  • 21.8M FCF proves operating model works when destocking ends
  • Zero debt with 21.5M cash provides runway through downcycle
FCF 21.8M vs Net Income -8M TTMDebt/Equity 3.4% vs industry medianWorking capital 161.9M (high inventory)

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.