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Century Casinos Inc

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Century Casinos Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Negative equity (-78.6M) with debt 27x market cap (1.08B vs 40M) - balance sheet in distress[Total Debt / Market Cap]
  • Interest expense (104.6M TTM) exceeds EBITDA (64.6M) by 62% - unsustainable debt service[Interest Expense TTM]
  • EV/Revenue of 1.8x masks 963M net debt on 573M revenue - equity nearly worthless[Enterprise Value]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 50MLiquidity crisis imminent; forces restructuring or dilutive raise
  • Interest Expense TTM: Any refinancing announcementRate reduction from 9.7% could restore FCF breakeven
  • Total Debt: Asset sale proceeds applied940M PPE provides collateral for partial deleveraging

Bull Case

Operating margin 8.5% TTM near industry median (8.2%) shows core ops viable if debt restructured

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTM

P/S of 0.07x is 95% below industry median (1.48x) - extreme discount if company survives

P/S RatioEnterprise Value

Bear Case

Debt/EBITDA of 16.7x (1.08B/64.6M) vs typical 3-4x covenant levels - likely in violation

Total DebtEBITDA TTM

Negative FCF (-28.2M TTM) with 77.7M cash = ~2.7 years runway before insolvency absent action

Free Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Without debt restructuring or asset sales, equity faces high dilution or wipeout risk

3-12mhigh
  • Interest expense 163% of operating income TTM
  • Negative FCF (-28.2M TTM) depleting cash
  • Only 77.7M cash vs 1.08B debt
Net income -108M TTM on 573M revenueBook value per share -$2.62Current debt 8M coming due

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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