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CPS Technologies Corp

CPSH

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CPS Technologies Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-02

Snapshot

  • Operating margin TTM -2.6% vs industry median +9.8% - structurally unprofitable at current scale of 30.3M revenue[Operating Margin TTM]
  • FCF TTM -1.5M with cash burn accelerating; 3.2M cash provides ~2 years runway at current burn rate[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Gross margin 12.5% vs industry median 28.2% - cost structure fundamentally disadvantaged vs peers[Gross Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Rises above 20%Would signal pricing power or cost improvements enabling path to operating profitability
  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 2MWould indicate <18 months runway, forcing dilutive financing or strategic sale
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 40MScale needed to cover 4.6M fixed OpEx at current gross margins

Bull Case

Near-zero debt (0.02 D/E) and 10.7M working capital provide financial flexibility to fund turnaround without dilution

Debt to EquityWorking Capital

P/B 3.1x but trading at 1.5x sales with 15.1M tangible book - limited downside if liquidated

P/B RatioP/S RatioTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Gross margin 12.5% indicates no pricing power or cost advantage - structural problem not cyclical

Gross Margin TTMCost of Revenue TTM

Negative ROE -3.8%, ROA -3.0%, ROIC -3.8% TTM - destroying shareholder value with no path to profitability visible

ROE TTMROA TTMROIC TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Turnaround unlikely without gross margin improvement to 20%+ or revenue doubling to cover fixed costs

1-3yhigh
  • Gross margin 12.5% half of industry median 28.2%
  • Operating expenses 4.6M on 30.3M revenue = 15% OpEx burden
  • Revenue growth 7.3% 1Y insufficient to reach profitability scale
Operating loss -776K TTM on 30.3M revenueGross profit 3.8M barely covers OpEx 4.6M5Y revenue CAGR only 14.6%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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