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CRH PLC

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CRH PLC AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-03-18

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 13.1B is 55% of equity (TTM) and tangible book is only 8.9B — acquisition-heavy model carries impairment risk at 2.9x P/B.[Goodwill]
  • Net margin TTM 10.0% is 2.4x industry median (4.2%), while operating margin TTM 14.2% is 1.5x median (9.5%) — pricing power visible.[Net Margin]
  • FCF TTM of 2.9B converts only 52% of CFO (5.6B) due to 2.7B capex — capital intensity constrains shareholder returns.[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Goodwill: Exceeds 60% of Common Stockholders' EquitySignals acquisition premium erosion; impairment would directly hit earnings and equity.
  • Change in Working Capital: Positive outflow exceeds 1.5B for two consecutive periodsPersistent WC build erodes FCF conversion below 50%, limiting buybacks and debt reduction.
  • Operating Margin: Falls below 12% (approaching industry median ~9.5%)Would indicate pricing power erosion or cost inflation outpacing price increases.

Bull Case

Dominant scale (37.4B TTM revenue, 15x median) drives gross margin 36.1% vs 28.2% median. ROIC TTM 9.2% nearly 2x industry median 5.2%, showing capital discipline despite heavy M&A.

Gross MarginROICTotal Revenue

Net margin TTM 10.0% is 2.4x industry median with ROE 16.4% vs 8.6%. Debt paydown of 1.2B TTM and 1.7x net debt/EBITDA provide capacity for opportunistic deals.

Net MarginROENet Issuance Payments of Debt

Bear Case

Goodwill 13.1B is 55% of equity; tangible book only 8.9B. At P/B 2.9x, any impairment cycle compresses equity and multiples. Intangibles total 15.1B (26% of assets).

GoodwillTangible Book ValueP/B Ratio

Working capital consumed 1.3B TTM (receivables up 2.1B). FCF of 2.9B is only 7.8% of market cap — modest yield for a cyclical materials business at 18.5x P/E.

Change in Working CapitalFree Cash FlowP/E Ratio

Bull vs Bear Balance

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Forward Thesis

Margin expansion likely to plateau as integration gains from M&A roll-off and capex stays elevated.

1-3ymed
  • Capex TTM 2.7B is 7.2% of revenue, above median intensity
  • Net debt 13.6B at 0.82 D/E limits further leveraged M&A
  • Working capital rose 1.3B TTM, pressuring cash conversion
FCF/CFO conversion only 52% TTMROIC TTM 9.2% vs 5.2% industry medianNet debt/EBITDA ~1.7x leaves moderate headroom

Revenue scale (37.4B TTM, ~15x industry median) sustains pricing and procurement advantages.

3-5yhigh
  • Gross margin TTM 36.1% vs 28.2% industry median
  • EPS TTM 5.51 vs industry median 1.41
  • Dividend payout 5yr avg 33.7% vs 3.9% median — returns capital
Revenue 37.4B is 15x industry median 2.5BOperating income 5.3B is 21x median 258MROE TTM 16.4% vs 8.6% median

Valuation Context

Caveats

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