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Curis Inc

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Curis Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-17

Snapshot

  • Negative equity (-14.7M) with goodwill at 8.9M means tangible book is -23.7M - technically insolvent on book basis[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • Cash burn of 30.1M TTM vs 9.1M cash remaining = ~3.6 months runway without new financing[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • R&D spend of 31.4M TTM is 270% of revenue (11.7M) - pure development-stage biotech profile[Research and Development TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 5M or new financing announcedAt current burn, sub-5M cash means weeks of runway - financing terms will be dilutive
  • Total Revenue TTM: Milestone payment or royalty step-up above 15MWould signal pipeline progress and extend runway without dilution
  • Research and Development TTM: Drops below 20M quarterly run rateR&D cuts signal either cash preservation or pipeline abandonment

Bull Case

99.5% gross margin TTM shows royalty/licensing revenue model with minimal COGS - if pipeline succeeds, operating leverage is extreme

Gross Margin TTMCost of Revenue TTM

EV of 11.3M for a biotech with active R&D pipeline (31.4M spend) - market pricing near-zero probability of success

Enterprise ValueResearch and Development TTM

Bear Case

3-4 month cash runway with -30M annual burn and negative equity - survival depends entirely on external financing

Cash and EquivalentsFree Cash Flow TTMTotal Equity

Revenue of 11.7M TTM with only 3% 5Y CAGR shows no commercial traction despite years of R&D investment

Total Revenue TTMTotal Revenue 5yr Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Imminent dilution or financing event required within 6 months to avoid liquidity crisis

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn rate of 30M/yr vs 9M cash
  • Already raised 6M via stock issuance recently
  • Negative working capital of -6M
FCF TTM: -30.1MCash: 9.1MIssuance of Capital Stock: 6M

Valuation Context

Caveats

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