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Delcath Systems Inc

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Delcath Systems Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • Gross margin 86.3% TTM vs industry median 43.7% - 2x advantage signals pricing power in specialized medical device niche[Gross Margin TTM]
  • Revenue 84% YoY growth (79.6M TTM) with 3Y CAGR of 183% - rare hypergrowth phase in medical devices[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • FCF 12M TTM (15% of revenue) with near-zero debt (0.8% D/E) - self-funding growth without dilution[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 5% or fails to reach 12% within 4 quartersOperating leverage thesis requires margin expansion as revenue scales
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Decelerates below 40%Premium valuation requires hypergrowth; deceleration compresses multiples
  • R&D as % of Revenue: Remains above 25% for 2+ quartersSignals inability to leverage fixed R&D costs against revenue growth

Bull Case

86% gross margin + 84% revenue growth = rare combo. If opex grows at 30% while revenue grows 50%, operating margin could triple to 20%+ within 2 years

Gross Margin TTMTotal Revenue 1Y GrowthOperating Margin TTM

112.6M working capital with 0.8% D/E and 12M FCF - no financing risk, can fund growth organically for 3+ years

Working CapitalDebt to EquityFree Cash Flow TTM

Bear Case

P/E 58.8x vs industry 35x and P/S 5x vs 1.5x median - growth premium leaves no margin for execution misses

PE RatioPS Ratio

Net margin only 1.5% despite 86% gross margin - 62.8M opex (79% of revenue) must scale or profitability stalls

Net Margin TTMOperating Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Operating leverage inflection: R&D (29% of revenue) should decline as % while revenue scales

1-3ymed
  • R&D 22.8M is fixed-cost heavy
  • Gross margin 86% provides expansion runway
  • Operating margin 7.4% up from negative
Operating income 5.9M TTM vs losses priorRevenue 84% growth outpacing opexFCF positive 12M despite heavy R&D

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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