Dillard's Inc
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Dillard's Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Operating margin 10.9% TTM is 2.4x industry median (4.5%), driving ROE of 29% vs industry 12.6% despite modest 6.6B revenue.[Operating Margin TTM]
- FCF of 781M TTM (11.8% yield on 6.6B revenue) with only 89M capex - generates cash at 1.25x net income.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- Inventory of 1.7B is 84% of equity - elevated markdown risk if consumer demand weakens.[Inventory]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 38% — Would signal promotional intensity eroding pricing power - operating leverage amplifies impact
- Inventory: Exceeds 28% of TTM revenue — Currently 26% - breach indicates demand weakness requiring margin-destroying clearance
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 500M — Would indicate working capital consumption or margin compression - threatens buyback capacity
Bull Case
ROIC of 22.7% TTM on 2.6B invested capital with debt/equity of 0.27 - exceptional capital efficiency with minimal leverage enables sustained buybacks.
P/E of 17.3x vs industry 29.2x with 1.1B cash (27% of market cap) provides valuation cushion and optionality.
Bear Case
Department store secular decline - DDS revenue of 6.6B in shrinking category with no e-commerce differentiation visible in data.
Inventory risk of 1.7B (84% of equity) in fashion retail - markdown cycle could erase 2-3 quarters of profit.
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Margin compression likely as promotional environment intensifies in department store sector.
- Gross margin 40.2% faces pressure from off-price competition
- Inventory at 1.7B (26% of revenue) requires clearance
- Operating leverage works both ways on fixed cost base
Valuation Context
Caveats
DDS Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$9.41B | — | ||
$8.81B | — | ||
14 | — | ||
$6.6B | +0.6% | — | |
$42.07 | -1.4% | — | |
10.6% | -0.4% | — | |
9.95% | +1.2% | — | |
$754.62M | +22.5% | — | |
33.8% | +2.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
DDS Dividend History
2026
$0.60002025
$31.10002024
$26.00002023
$20.90002022
$15.80002021
$15.70002020
$0.60002019
$0.50002018
$0.40002017
$0.34002016
$0.28002015
$0.26002014
$0.24002013
$0.22002012
$5.20002011
$0.19002010
$0.16002009
$0.16002008
$0.16002007
$0.16002006
$0.16002005
$0.16002004
$0.16002003
$0.16002002
$0.16002001
$0.16002000
$0.1600DDS Stock Splits
DDS SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
06/05/26 | 05/02/26 | 10-Q | |
03/27/26 | 01/31/26 | Unknown | |
12/05/25 | 11/01/25 | 10-Q | |
09/05/25 | 08/02/25 | 10-Q | |
06/06/25 | 05/03/25 | 10-Q | |
03/28/25 | 02/01/25 | 10-K | |
12/05/25 | 11/02/24 | 10-Q | |
12/06/24 | 11/02/24 | 10-Q | |
09/06/24 | 08/03/24 | 10-Q | |
09/05/25 | 08/03/24 | 10-Q | |
06/06/25 | 05/04/24 | 10-Q | |
06/07/24 | 05/04/24 | 10-Q | |
03/29/24 | 02/03/24 | Unknown | |
03/28/25 | 02/03/24 | 10-K | |
12/06/24 | 10/28/23 | 10-Q | |
12/07/23 | 10/28/23 | 10-Q | |
09/01/23 | 07/29/23 | 10-Q | |
09/06/24 | 07/29/23 | 10-Q | |
06/02/23 | 04/29/23 | 10-Q | |
06/07/24 | 04/29/23 | 10-Q | |
03/27/23 | 01/28/23 | 10-K | |
03/28/25 | 01/28/23 | 10-K | |
12/02/22 | 10/29/22 | 10-Q | |
09/01/22 | 07/30/22 | 10-Q | |
06/03/22 | 04/30/22 | 10-Q | |
03/29/24 | 01/29/22 | 10-K | |
03/29/22 | 01/29/22 | 10-K | |
12/03/21 | 10/30/21 | 10-Q | |
09/03/21 | 07/31/21 | 10-Q | |
06/09/21 | 05/01/21 | 10-Q | |
03/29/21 | 01/30/21 | 10-K | |
12/04/20 | 10/31/20 | 10-Q | |
09/04/20 | 08/01/20 | 10-Q | |
06/05/20 | 05/02/20 | 10-Q | |
03/31/20 | 02/01/20 | 10-K | |
12/11/19 | 11/02/19 | 10-Q | |
09/11/19 | 08/03/19 | 10-Q | |
06/07/19 | 05/04/19 | 10-Q | |
03/29/19 | 02/02/19 | 10-K | |
12/06/18 | 11/03/18 | 10-Q | |
09/07/18 | 08/04/18 | 10-Q | |
06/08/18 | 05/05/18 | 10-Q | |
03/30/18 | 02/03/18 | 10-K | |
11/30/17 | 10/28/17 | 10-Q | |
08/31/17 | 07/29/17 | 10-Q | |
06/06/17 | 04/29/17 | 10-Q | |
03/24/17 | 01/28/17 | 10-K | |
12/01/16 | 10/29/16 | 10-Q | |
09/01/16 | 07/30/16 | 10-Q | |
06/02/16 | 04/30/16 | 10-Q | |
03/23/16 | 01/30/16 | 10-K | |
12/04/15 | 10/31/15 | 10-Q | |
09/03/15 | 08/01/15 | 10-Q | |
06/03/15 | 05/02/15 | 10-Q | |
03/25/15 | 01/31/15 | 10-K | |
12/01/14 | 11/01/14 | 10-Q | |
09/04/14 | 08/02/14 | 10-Q | |
06/05/14 | 05/03/14 | 10-Q | |
03/27/14 | 02/01/14 | 10-K | |
12/04/13 | 11/02/13 | 10-Q | |
09/03/13 | 08/03/13 | 10-Q | |
06/05/13 | 05/04/13 | 10-Q | |
03/28/13 | 02/02/13 | 10-K | |
11/28/12 | 10/27/12 | 10-Q | |
08/29/12 | 07/28/12 | 10-Q | |
05/30/12 | 04/28/12 | 10-Q | |
03/22/12 | 01/28/12 | 10-K | |
12/06/11 | 10/29/11 | 10-Q | |
09/02/11 | 07/30/11 | 10-Q | |
06/03/11 | 04/30/11 | 10-Q | |
03/23/11 | 01/29/11 | 10-K | |
12/03/10 | 10/30/10 | 10-Q | |
09/02/10 | 07/31/10 | 10-Q | |
06/04/10 | 05/01/10 | 10-Q | |
03/26/10 | 01/30/10 | 10-K | |
12/03/09 | 10/30/09 | 10-Q | |
08/28/09 | 07/31/09 | 10-Q | |
06/08/09 | 04/30/09 | 10-Q | |
04/01/09 | 01/28/09 | Unknown | -- |
12/09/08 | 10/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
09/11/08 | 07/31/08 | Unknown | -- |
06/10/08 | 04/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
04/02/08 | 01/29/08 | Unknown | -- |
12/05/07 | 10/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
09/05/07 | 07/31/07 | Unknown | -- |
06/12/07 | 04/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
04/04/07 | 01/28/07 | Unknown | -- |
12/06/06 | 10/31/06 | 8-K | |
09/07/06 | 07/31/06 | Unknown | -- |
06/08/06 | 04/30/06 | Unknown | -- |
04/03/06 | 01/31/06 | 5 | |
12/09/05 | 10/30/05 | Unknown | -- |
09/08/05 | 07/31/05 | Unknown | -- |
06/09/05 | 04/30/05 | 10-Q | |
04/14/05 | 01/28/05 | Unknown | -- |
12/08/04 | 10/31/04 | 10-Q | |
09/09/04 | 07/31/04 | 10-Q | |
06/02/04 | 04/30/04 | Unknown | -- |
04/13/04 | 01/29/04 | Unknown | -- |
12/16/03 | 10/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
09/16/03 | 07/31/03 | Unknown | -- |
06/17/03 | 04/30/03 | Unknown | -- |
04/10/03 | 01/28/03 | Unknown | -- |
12/17/02 | 10/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
09/17/02 | 07/31/02 | Unknown | -- |
06/18/02 | 04/30/02 | Unknown | -- |
05/01/02 | 01/28/02 | Unknown | -- |
12/18/01 | 10/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
09/17/01 | 07/31/01 | Unknown | -- |
06/19/01 | 04/30/01 | Unknown | -- |
05/07/01 | 01/28/01 | Unknown | -- |
12/12/00 | 10/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
09/12/00 | 07/31/00 | Unknown | -- |
06/13/00 | 04/30/00 | Unknown | -- |
04/28/00 | 01/31/00 | DEF 14A |