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Delek Logistics Partners LP

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Delek Logistics Partners LP AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-09

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 131x with interest expense (169M TTM) exceeding net income (164M) - equity is nearly wiped out at 17M total.[Debt to Equity]
  • Negative FCF of -49M TTM while paying 4.43/share dividends (payout ratio 122% 5Y avg) - distributions funded by debt.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Operating margin 19% TTM vs industry median 8.8% - 2.2x advantage despite capital structure stress.[Operating Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds EBIT (currently 169M vs 334M EBIT)Interest coverage at 2.0x EBIT; any compression signals distribution cut risk.
  • Capital Expenditure TTM: Falls below 150M (currently 293M)Capex normalization would flip FCF positive, validating distribution sustainability.
  • Total Debt: Rises above 2.5B (currently 2.3B)Additional leverage on 17M equity base signals imminent restructuring risk.

Bull Case

EBITDA of 448M TTM at 46% margin provides debt service capacity; EV/EBITDA of 11.4x reasonable for midstream MLPs with contracted cash flows.

EBITDA TTMOperating Margin TTM

14.4% dividend yield (4.43/share) sustainable if capex normalizes - 293M TTM capex appears elevated vs 35M depreciation.

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Tangible book value negative (-368M) with 131x debt/equity - any EBITDA decline triggers covenant risk on 2.3B debt.

Tangible Book ValueDebt to EquityTotal Debt

EPS declined 7.6% over 5Y while distributions grew - MLP structure extracting value faster than business generates it.

EPS Growth 5YDividend Payout Ratio Avg 5Y

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Distribution sustainability depends on capex normalization or asset sales within 12-18 months.

3-12mhigh
  • Capex of 293M TTM vs 244M operating cash flow
  • Near-zero cash position (7M) limits flexibility
  • Interest coverage at 1.0x leaves no margin
FCF negative 49M TTMDividend payout 122% of earnings (5Y avg)Total debt 2.3B vs equity 17M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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