Epsilon Energy Ltd
EPSN—
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Epsilon Energy Ltd AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Debt/equity of 0.004 with 12.8M cash vs 0.4M total debt - virtually debt-free balance sheet funds 35% capex/revenue reinvestment[Debt to Equity]
- EPS grew 406% YoY (TTM) despite 3Y revenue declining 25% - dramatic cost restructuring or asset optimization driving earnings[EPS Growth 1 Year]
- P/B of 1.03x trading at tangible book value (100.2M equity = 102.8M market cap) - minimal premium to liquidation value[Price to Book Ratio]
Watch Triggers
- Total Revenue TTM: Stabilizes or grows QoQ for 2+ quarters — Revenue inflection would validate that 406% EPS growth is sustainable, not one-time
- Capital Expenditure TTM: Falls below 10M (currently 16M) — Capex cut signals harvest mode - bullish for near-term FCF, bearish for growth
- Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below 0.25/share — Dividend cut would signal management concern about FCF sustainability
Bull Case
Operating margin 29.2% vs industry median 18.1% - 1.6x advantage with near-zero leverage creates exceptional downside protection in commodity cycles
Operating Margin TTMDebt to Equity
Trading at 1.03x book with 5.9% ROE and 406% EPS growth - market pricing in permanent revenue decline that may not materialize
Price to Book RatioEPS Growth 1 YearROE TTM
Bear Case
Revenue down 25% over 3Y with EPS down 63% over same period - recent EPS spike may be one-time; structural decline in asset base
Total Revenue 3 Year GrowthEPS Growth 3 Year
45.7M TTM revenue is micro-cap scale - limited pricing power, customer concentration risk, and illiquidity (22.2M shares outstanding)
Total Revenue TTMShares Outstanding
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
FCF generation will fund continued capital returns despite revenue headwinds
1-3ymed
- 21.7% FCF yield (9.9M FCF / 45.7M revenue TTM)
- Dividend yield ~5.5% (0.25/share on ~4.64 price)
- Zero refinancing risk with 0.4M total debt
FCF TTM: 9.9M on 45.7M revenueCash: 12.8M covers 32x annual debtDividends paid: 0.25/share TTM
Valuation Context
Caveats
EPSN Fundamentals
Mining, Quarrying, and Oil and Gas Extraction → Oil and Gas Extraction
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$175.14M | — | ||
$213.27M | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$61.02M | — | ||
$0.00 | — | ||
0% | — | ||
0% | — | ||
$10.22M | — | ||
0% | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
EPSN Dividend History
18 dividends
2026
$0.125006/15/26$0.0625
03/13/26$0.0625
2025
$0.250012/15/25$0.0625
09/15/25$0.0625
06/13/25$0.0625
03/13/25$0.0625
2024
$0.250012/16/24$0.0625
09/13/24$0.0625
06/14/24$0.0625
03/14/24$0.0625
2023
$0.250012/14/23$0.0625
09/14/23$0.0625
06/14/23$0.0625
03/14/23$0.0625
2022
$0.250012/14/22$0.0625
09/14/22$0.0625
06/14/22$0.0625
03/07/22$0.0625
EPSN Stock Splits
2 stock splits
12/24/182:1 split
03/22/171:1.029 split
EPSN SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
05/13/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-Q | |
03/27/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/05/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/13/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/14/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
03/19/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
11/06/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/13/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/08/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
03/21/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/09/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/11/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/11/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
03/24/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/10/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/12/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/12/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
03/24/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/12/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/12/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/06/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
03/25/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/10/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/13/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/13/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
03/18/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/13/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/16/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/14/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
03/29/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/07/18 | 09/30/18 | Quarterly | -- |
08/13/18 | 06/30/18 | Quarterly | -- |
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03/22/18 | 12/31/17 | Annual | -- |
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09/30/08 | 09/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
06/30/08 | 06/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/08 | 03/30/08 | Unknown | -- |
12/31/07 | 12/31/07 | Unknown | -- |
09/30/07 | 09/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
06/30/07 | 06/30/07 | Unknown | -- |
03/31/07 | 03/30/07 | Unknown | -- |