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1-800-Flowers.com Inc

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1-800-Flowers.com Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-16

Snapshot

  • TTM net loss of -218.8M driven by 143.8M unusual items; operating margin -3.9% vs industry median +3.5%[Operating Margin]
  • Debt/equity 1.72x with 134M current debt due vs only 7.7M cash - liquidity crisis risk[Debt to Equity]
  • Revenue declined 11% 1Y and -10.8% 3Y CAGR while inventory dropped 92.7M - demand destruction[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 5M or debt refinancing announcementAt 7.7M vs 134M current debt, any delay in refinancing triggers default risk
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Turns positive or stabilizes above -5%Revenue inflection needed to generate operating leverage for debt service
  • Operating Margin: Returns to positive territoryCurrently -3.9%; positive margin required for any path to solvency

Bull Case

P/S 0.18x vs industry median 0.57x - trading at 68% discount if revenue stabilizes and unusual items don't recur

PS RatioTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

Asset turnover 1.77x (27% above median) shows operational efficiency; gross margin 38.4% intact despite revenue decline

Asset TurnoverGross Margin

Bear Case

Liquidity crisis: 7.7M cash vs 134M current debt + 346M current liabilities; negative OCF -139M makes refinancing critical

Cash and EquivalentsCurrent DebtCash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities

Structural decline: revenue down 11% 1Y, -10.8% 3Y, -5.4% 5Y CAGR with ROE -67% and ROIC -32% destroying value

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthROEROIC

Bull vs Bear Balance

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BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Turnaround unlikely without refinancing; current debt load unsustainable at -24M FCF TTM

3-12mhigh
  • 134M current debt vs 7.7M cash
  • Negative operating cash flow -139M TTM
  • No dividend capacity for equity raise
FCF TTM: -24.1MInterest expense: 16M TTMCash: 7.7M vs 346M current liabilities

Inventory normalization (down 92.7M) may restore working capital if demand stabilizes

1-3ylow
  • Inventory still 269.8M (16% of revenue)
  • Gross margin 38.4% near industry median
  • Asset turnover 1.77x above median 1.39x
Working capital: 11.7M positiveInventory change: -92.7M TTMGross margin: 38.4%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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