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FuboTV Inc

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FuboTV Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-01-06

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 631M is 157% of equity (402M) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-343M), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • Gross profit TTM grew 45% while revenue grew 19% 3Y CAGR - margin expansion inflection underway[Gross Profit 1Y Growth]
  • FCF of 126M TTM vs negative working capital (-177M) - cash generation despite subscriber prepayment model[Free Cash Flow TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Gross Margin TTM: Falls below 15% or fails to reach 22% within 4 quartersMargin expansion is core thesis - reversal signals content cost inflation winning
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge announcedWould eliminate equity cushion and potentially trigger debt acceleration
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative for 2 consecutive quartersWould force dilutive financing given 0.93x debt/equity already

Bull Case

ROIC of 17.7% TTM vs industry median -0.9% demonstrates capital efficiency rare in streaming; FCF of 126M funds growth without dilution

ROIC TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

P/S of 0.53x vs industry median 0.58x with 19% 3Y revenue CAGR (vs industry -1%) offers growth at value price

P/S RatioTotal Revenue 3Y Growth

Bear Case

Goodwill 157% of equity with negative tangible book (-343M) - single impairment could wipe equity and trigger debt covenants

GoodwillTangible Book Value

Debt/equity 0.93x with 374M total debt vs 274M cash; 153M current debt due near-term creates refinancing risk

Debt to EquityCurrent Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Path to sustained profitability as gross margin expansion continues from 18% toward 25%+

1-3ymed
  • Gross margin improved to 18.4% TTM with 45% gross profit growth
  • Operating losses narrowing (-86M) with positive net income (123M)
  • Asset turnover of 1.4x indicates efficient revenue generation
Net income TTM 123M vs industry median -5.5MROIC 17.7% vs industry median -0.9%FCF positive 126M TTM

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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