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Six Flags Entertainment Corp

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Six Flags Entertainment Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-31

Snapshot

  • Asset impairment of 1.5B TTM drove net loss of -1.7B; goodwill at 2.1B (336% of equity) signals ongoing write-down risk.[Asset Impairment Charge TTM]
  • Debt/equity of 8.5x with 5.2B total debt vs 614M equity; interest expense of 349M TTM exceeds operating income of 248M.[Debt to Equity]
  • Gross margin 91% TTM vs industry median 52% reflects asset-light ops, but FCF is -169M due to 501M capex.[Gross Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds operating income for 2+ consecutive quartersSignals inability to service debt from operations; refinancing becomes critical.
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Remains negative beyond FY2025Negative FCF with 5.2B debt and 71M cash creates liquidity crisis risk.
  • Goodwill: Additional impairment charges announcedFurther write-downs would push equity negative, triggering covenant issues.

Bull Case

91% gross margin TTM (vs 52% median) shows pricing power; 5-year revenue growth of 72% indicates successful expansion post-merger.

Gross Margin TTMTotal Revenue 5yr Growth

P/S of 0.49 TTM vs industry median 1.48 implies market pricing in worst case; EV of 6.7B for 3.1B revenue.

PS RatioEnterprise Value

Bear Case

Interest expense 349M TTM exceeds operating income 248M; company is operationally insolvent without refinancing or asset sales.

Interest Expense TTMOperating Income TTM

Tangible book value is -2.2B; goodwill of 2.1B (336% of equity) at risk after 1.5B impairment already taken TTM.

Tangible Book ValueGoodwill

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
30%

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Forward Thesis

Merger synergies must materialize within 18 months or debt load becomes unsustainable.

1-3ymed
  • Interest expense 349M exceeds 248M operating income TTM
  • FCF negative at -169M despite 333M operating cash flow
  • 5.2B debt with only 71M cash on hand
Debt/equity 8.5x vs industry normNet debt 5.0B vs 614M equityCapex 501M TTM (16% of revenue)

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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