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Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc

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Gaming and Leisure Properties Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-12

Snapshot

  • Operating margin TTM 72.7% vs industry median 17.8% - triple-net lease model generates 4x peer profitability with minimal operating costs[Operating Margin TTM]
  • FCF TTM 997M (63% of revenue) funds 3.08 dividend (7.1% yield) while debt/equity 1.64x remains manageable for REIT[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Receivables 2.3B (147% of revenue) signals deferred rent structure - concentration risk if tenant defaults[Accounts Receivable]

Watch Triggers

  • Accounts Receivable: Increases >20% YoY without revenue growthSignals tenant payment stress; receivables already 147% of revenue indicates deferred rent
  • Interest Expense TTM: Exceeds 30% of EBITDA (currently 26%)Debt refinancing at higher rates compresses dividend coverage
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut or freeze vs current 3.08REIT investors own for yield; dividend cut triggers forced selling

Bull Case

Triple-net lease structure yields 72.7% operating margin with capex under 5% of revenue - pure rent collection model with minimal reinvestment needs

Operating Margin TTMCapital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

P/E 15.5x vs industry median 30.8x despite superior margins - valuation discount for REIT structure may be overdone

P/E RatioROE TTMDividend Yield

Bear Case

7.5B total debt (1.64x equity) with 379M annual interest - rising rates compress spread between borrowing cost and cap rates

Total DebtDebt to EquityInterest Expense TTM

Receivables 2.3B suggests tenant payment deferrals - single tenant default could impair 15%+ of revenue given gaming concentration

Accounts ReceivableTotal Revenue TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Dividend sustainability depends on maintaining 90%+ rent collection from concentrated gaming tenants

1-3ymed
  • Triple-net leases shift operating costs to tenants
  • Gaming industry recovery post-pandemic
  • Limited new casino supply in regional markets
FCF margin 63% TTM covers 3.08 dividend 1.15xInterest expense 379M vs EBITDA 1.46B (3.9x coverage)ROE 17.6% TTM vs industry median 4.5%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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