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Helen Of Troy Ltd

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Helen Of Troy Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-18

Snapshot

  • TTM net loss of -658.8M driven by -329M special charges; excluding these, operating income of 161M (8.9% margin) vs industry median 3.2%[Special Income Charges]
  • Goodwill of 569M is 61% of equity (926M) with negative tangible book value (-72M) - impairment risk given recent charges[Goodwill]
  • Debt/equity of 1.01x with 933M total debt vs only 22M cash; interest expense 54M TTM consuming 34% of operating income[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Special Income Charges: Additional charges >50M in next 2 quartersWould signal goodwill impairments ongoing, not one-time; thesis invalidation
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 30M or turns negativeWith 22M cash and 933M debt, negative FCF triggers liquidity crisis
  • Operating Margin TTM: Drops below 6% (ex-charges)Core business deterioration would eliminate valuation case

Bull Case

Trading at 0.25x P/S vs 1.0x median and 4.4x P/E - if charges are truly one-time, shares are deeply undervalued on normalized earnings

P/S RatioP/E RatioOperating Margin TTM

FCF of 50M TTM despite turmoil; inventory down 45M and payables up 54M show working capital discipline

Free Cash Flow TTMChange in InventoryChange in Account Payable

Bear Case

5Y EPS CAGR of -15% vs industry +11% signals secular decline, not cyclical - goodwill charges may continue

EPS Growth 5Y TTMSpecial Income ChargesGoodwill

Leverage is dangerous: 933M debt, 22M cash, 54M interest on 161M operating income leaves no margin for error

Total DebtCash and EquivalentsInterest Expense

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
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Forward Thesis

Normalized earnings recovery likely as one-time charges (329M) wash out, revealing 8.9% operating margin business

1-3ymed
  • Special charges of -329M TTM are non-recurring
  • Core operating margin 8.9% is 2.7x industry median
  • FCF positive at 50M despite net loss
Operating income 161M TTM ex-chargesFCF 50M vs net loss -659MGross margin 47% vs 46% median

Balance sheet stress may force asset sales or equity raise if operating performance doesn't improve

1-3ymed
  • Net debt 871M vs market cap 456M
  • Negative tangible book value -72M
  • 5Y EPS CAGR of -15% shows structural decline
Cash only 22M vs 933M debtInterest 54M/yr on 161M op incomeEPS growth 5Y -15% vs +11% median

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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