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Hecla Mining Co

HL

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Hecla Mining Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 30.5% TTM vs industry median 0% - rare profitable miner with 3Y EPS CAGR of 89%[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Debt/equity 0.11 with net debt only 136M vs 2.4B equity - fortress balance sheet for cyclical industry[Debt to Equity]
  • P/E 52x vs industry median 28x while P/B 4.7x - premium valuation pricing in continued margin expansion[PE Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 25%Margin compression would invalidate premium valuation thesis
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative for 2 quartersWould signal capex cycle extending or operational issues
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 0.3Balance sheet deterioration removes key competitive advantage

Bull Case

Best-in-class margins (30.5% operating) with minimal leverage (0.11 D/E) positions HL to compound through metal price cycles while peers struggle

Operating Margin TTMDebt to EquityROE TTM

89% 3Y EPS CAGR with only 6% 1Y growth suggests margin expansion runway remains as operations scale

EPS Growth 3Y TTMEPS Growth 1YEBITDA TTM

Bear Case

P/E 52x (1.9x industry median) prices perfection - any margin compression or metal price decline creates significant downside

PE RatioPS RatioPB Ratio

Capital intensive (capex 19% of revenue TTM) with commodity exposure means FCF highly volatile despite current strength

Capital Expenditure TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

FCF generation to accelerate as capex cycle matures and silver/gold prices remain elevated

1-3ymed
  • Capex 231M TTM vs 413M operating cash flow
  • Net debt paid down 293M in period
  • Operating leverage on fixed cost base
FCF 182M TTM (15% margin)EBITDA margin 43% TTMROE 8.9% vs industry -4.2%

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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