HPE logo

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co

HPE

Build a strategy around HPE

Accountable AI Logo

Hewlett Packard Enterprise Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 23.8B is 97% of equity (24.4B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-6B), creating material impairment risk[Goodwill]
  • FCF TTM collapsed to 225M (0.7% margin) vs 2.5B operating cash flow - capex of 2.3B consuming nearly all cash generation[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • 12.4B acquisition spend TTM while adding 4.5B net debt - aggressive M&A funded by leverage, not organic cash[Purchase of Business TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Recover above 1.5B (covering dividend + debt service)Current 225M FCF is unsustainable - dividend at risk without recovery
  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge or writedown announcementAt 97% of equity, even 10% impairment wipes 2.4B from book value
  • Debt to Equity: Rises above 1.2x from current 0.97xFurther leverage to fund M&A or dividends signals distress

Bull Case

P/E of 17.3x is 47% discount to industry median (32.4x) while operating margin of 6.2% is 2.5x industry median - value with profitability

P/E RatioOperating Margin TTM

Revenue of 33.1B dwarfs industry median (422M) with 2.2B R&D spend - scale advantages in enterprise infrastructure

Total Revenue TTMResearch and Development TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible book (-6B) with 23.7B debt means equity is entirely goodwill - any impairment directly erodes shareholder value

Tangible Book ValueGoodwillTotal Debt

FCF of 225M cannot cover 680M dividends - currently funded by debt issuance (4.5B net), unsustainable capital allocation

Free Cash Flow TTMDividends Paid Per Share TTMNet Issuance Payments of Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

Leverage HPE's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

M&A integration execution will determine whether HPE creates or destroys value over next 18 months

1-3ymed
  • 12.4B acquisitions must generate synergies to justify 97% goodwill/equity
  • Debt/equity at 0.97 limits further deal capacity
  • FCF must recover from 225M to fund 680M annual dividend
Purchase of business TTM: 12.4BGoodwill: 23.8B vs equity 24.4BFCF TTM: 225M vs dividends: ~680M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.