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Hoyne Bancorp Inc

HYNE

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Hoyne Bancorp Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2026-02-06

Snapshot

  • Net loss of -391K TTM with -2.8% net margin vs industry median of 0% - unprofitable micro-cap bank holding company burning cash[Net Margin TTM]
  • Zero debt (D/E 0.0) with 90M equity and 28M cash - fortress balance sheet but earning nothing on 455M assets (ROA -0.09%)[Debt to Equity]
  • P/S of 8.4x vs industry median 2.9x - paying 3x premium for a loss-making entity with negative FCF of -2.2M TTM[P/S Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Net Income TTM: Turns positive for 2 consecutive quartersProfitability inflection would validate turnaround thesis and justify premium valuation
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Improves to breakeven or positiveCash burn rate determines runway; continued -2M+ FCF depletes 28M cash in ~12 years
  • Book Value Per Share: Declines below $10 from current $11.13Erosion of book value removes primary downside protection for equity holders

Bull Case

Trading at 1.28x book (11.13/share) with zero debt - downside protected by tangible book of 90M vs 115M market cap

P/B RatioDebt to EquityTangible Book Value

28M cash (24% of market cap) provides runway for turnaround without dilution; no capex spend TTM preserves liquidity

Cash and EquivalentsCapital Expenditure TTM

Bear Case

Negative FCF -2.2M TTM and -391K net loss with no dividend - value trap with no catalyst and cash burn eroding book value

Free Cash Flow TTMNet Income TTMDividends Paid Per Share TTM

P/S 8.4x is 2.9x industry median for unprofitable bank - severe overvaluation given ROE -0.4% vs median +2.5%

P/S RatioROE TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Path to profitability requires interest income growth to exceed 6.6M interest expense burden

1-3ylow
  • Interest expense TTM 6.6M consuming 48% of revenue
  • Asset turnover 0.03x indicates severe earning asset underutilization
  • ROE -0.4% vs industry median 2.5%
Net income TTM -391K on 13.7M revenueTotal assets 455M generating only 13.7M revenueFCF TTM -2.2M indicates ongoing cash burn

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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