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Iamgold Corp

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Iamgold Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-22

Snapshot

  • Operating margin 31% TTM vs industry median 0% - rare profitability in gold mining sector where most peers operate at breakeven or loss[Operating Margin TTM]
  • EPS 3Y CAGR of 221% dwarfs industry median 19% - operational turnaround or major project ramp now flowing to earnings[EPS Growth 3Y TTM]
  • PPE of 4.3B (80% of assets) with capex of 333M TTM signals heavy capital intensity typical of mining but limits flexibility[Capital Expenditure TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 25%Current 31% margin is key differentiator - compression signals cost inflation or grade decline
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Turns negative or falls below 150MFCF inflection thesis depends on sustaining 200M+ generation post-capex cycle
  • Total Debt: Rises above 1.5BCurrent 1.1B debt manageable but increase signals project overruns or acquisition risk

Bull Case

Top-tier margins (31% operating, 15% net TTM) in sector where median is breakeven. ROE 10% vs industry -4% median shows capital efficiency rare in gold mining.

Operating Margin TTMROE TTMNet Margin TTM

221% 3Y EPS CAGR with EBITDA of 1.0B TTM and manageable debt (0.31 D/E) positions for shareholder returns or opportunistic M&A.

EPS Growth 3Y TTMEBITDA TTMDebt to Equity

Bear Case

P/E 32x vs industry median 28x and P/S 4.6x vs 6.1x median - premium valuation leaves little margin for gold price weakness or operational miss.

PE RatioPS Ratio

EPS declined 4% YoY TTM after 221% 3Y run - growth deceleration risk as easy comps fade. Zero dividend signals reinvestment priority over returns.

EPS Growth 1YDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

FCF inflection likely to accelerate as major capex cycle winds down

1-3ymed
  • FCF 211M TTM up from negative industry median
  • Capex 333M vs 1B EBITDA suggests maintenance phase
  • Net debt only 0.6x EBITDA provides capacity
FCF margin 9.4% vs industry median negativeEBITDA 1.0B TTM covers interest 15xDebt/equity 0.31 below industry norms

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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