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ImmunityBio Inc

IBRX

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ImmunityBio Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-10

Snapshot

  • Negative equity of -524M with 542M debt creates -201% debt-to-equity ratio - technically insolvent balance sheet requiring continuous capital raises[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • Cash burn of -325M FCF TTM vs 60M cash on hand = ~2 months runway without new financing; 174M raised via stock issuance this period[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • P/S of 26.4x vs industry median 2.7x (10x premium) on 82.6M revenue - valuation pricing in major pipeline success[Price to Sales Ratio]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 40M or no financing announced within 90 daysAt current burn, sub-40M cash = weeks of runway; financing delay signals capital market access problems
  • Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue exceeds 30M (annualized 120M+)Revenue inflection would validate commercial model and reduce financing dependency
  • Interest Expense TTM: Increases above 110M or debt restructuring announced100M interest on 83M revenue is unsustainable; any increase accelerates cash crisis

Bull Case

Near-perfect 99.5% gross margin TTM indicates scalable platform if any pipeline asset succeeds; minimal COGS allows rapid margin expansion on revenue growth

Gross Margin TTMCost of Revenue TTM

Revenue grew 5.5% 3Y CAGR with gross profit up 4.2% YoY despite losses - commercial traction emerging that could accelerate with approvals

Total Revenue 3Y GrowthGross Profit 1Y Growth

Bear Case

Negative equity (-524M) with 542M debt and 100M annual interest creates existential risk; tangible book value of -539M means zero liquidation value

Total EquityTotal DebtTangible Book Value

Operating loss of -261M TTM on 83M revenue (-316% operating margin) with only 60M cash requires imminent dilutive financing

Operating Margin TTMCash and EquivalentsOperating Income TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Survival hinges on continued equity financing or partnership deals within 6-12 months

3-12mhigh
  • 60M cash vs 325M annual burn = critical liquidity gap
  • 100M annual interest expense on 542M debt
  • R&D spend of 190M TTM must continue for pipeline value
FCF TTM: -325MCash: 60M (2 months runway)Recent stock issuance: 174M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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