IP

Heritage Distilling Holding Co Inc

IPST
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Heritage Distilling Holding Co Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-15

Snapshot

  • Net income of 181.2M TTM driven almost entirely by 245.8M gain on sale of security - core operations lost 18.6M[Gain on Sale of Security]
  • Intangibles of 456.6M represent 95% of 482.8M total assets - tangible asset base is minimal[Goodwill and Other Intangible Assets]
  • Operating cash flow negative 4.3M TTM despite 8.5M revenue - burning cash at core business level[Cash Flow from Continuing Operating Activities]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 1M or current liabilities exceed 2x cashLiquidity crisis threshold - may force dilutive financing or asset sales
  • Operating Expense TTM: Declines below 15M without revenue dropWould signal management addressing cost structure misalignment
  • Total Revenue TTM: Exceeds 12M with stable gross marginScale needed to approach operating breakeven given current cost base

Bull Case

Recent 245.8M security sale demonstrates ability to monetize assets; intangible base of 456.6M could provide further liquidity runway

Gain on Sale of SecurityGoodwill and Other Intangible Assets

Gross margin of 31% (2.7M/8.5M TTM) shows product economics work - problem is scale vs overhead

Gross Profit TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Bear Case

Operating expenses of 21.3M are 2.5x revenue of 8.5M TTM - cost structure fundamentally misaligned with business scale

Operating Expense TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Cash of 1.7M covers only 2.4 months of operating burn (-4.3M/year OCF) with 10.4M current liabilities due

Cash and EquivalentsCurrent Liabilities

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

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Forward Thesis

Core distilling business unsustainable without external capital or asset monetization

3-12mhigh
  • Operating loss of -18.6M on 8.5M revenue TTM
  • Cash of 1.7M vs current liabilities of 10.4M
  • Negative operating cash flow of -4.3M
Operating margin -219% TTMCurrent ratio 0.48xCash burn exceeds 50% of revenue
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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