Kodiak AI Inc
KDKBuild a strategy around KDK
Kodiak AI Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Negative equity of -219.5M with 174.2M liabilities vs 177.8M assets - technically insolvent, funded by 166M financing TTM[Common Stockholders Equity]
- Cash burn of -99.3M FCF TTM against 146.2M cash = ~18 months runway without additional capital raises[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- Revenue grew 92.5% YoY to 16.5M TTM but operating loss of -83.4M means $5 lost per $1 revenue[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
Watch Triggers
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 75M — Would signal <9 months runway at current burn, forcing emergency financing
- Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly revenue exceeds 10M — Would indicate commercial inflection and potential path to unit economics
- Operating Expense TTM: Declines 20%+ without revenue drop — Signals management prioritizing runway extension over growth
Bull Case
92.5% revenue growth demonstrates product-market traction; R&D of 49.9M (3x revenue) building defensible IP in autonomous trucking
Working capital of 117.2M and recent 166M financing shows investor confidence; runway exists for commercialization push
Bear Case
Negative equity (-219.5M) and -507% operating margin indicate structural unprofitability; dilution risk imminent
16.5M revenue vs 99.8M opex means 6x cost structure relative to sales; path to breakeven requires 500%+ revenue scale
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Capital raise required within 12-18 months or operational restructuring to extend runway
- FCF burn rate of -99.3M annually
- Cash position of 146.2M declining
- No path to profitability visible in current structure
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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KDK Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$1.36B | — | ||
$1.36B | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$3.8M | -74.6% | — | |
$-6.42 | — | ||
-2,966% | -2552.9% | — | |
-15,421% | -14955.6% | — | |
$-116.47M | — | ||
0% | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
KDK Dividend History
KDK Stock Splits
KDK SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
03/11/26 | 12/31/25 | Unknown | |
11/13/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/29/25 | 06/30/25 | 424B3 | |
07/28/25 | 03/31/25 | S-4/A | |
08/29/25 | 12/31/24 | 424B3 | |
11/13/25 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
06/30/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
07/28/25 | 03/31/24 | S-4/A |