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Coca-Cola Co

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Coca-Cola Co AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Operating margin TTM 31.3% vs industry median 13.2% - 2.4x advantage from brand pricing power and asset-light bottler model.[Operating Margin TTM]
  • Tangible book value negative (-930M) with goodwill 60% of equity (18.7B) - valuation depends entirely on intangible brand value.[Tangible Book Value]
  • ROE TTM 45.1% vs industry median 7.1% driven by 1.52 debt/equity leverage - high returns but capital structure dependent.[ROE TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 28%Would signal pricing power erosion or input cost pressure breaking the brand moat thesis
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Drops below 4.5BThreatens dividend coverage (8.7B annual payout) and forces debt reliance
  • Debt to Equity: Exceeds 1.8xFurther leverage on negative tangible equity increases refinancing risk

Bull Case

Unmatched profitability (31% operating margin, 45% ROE) from century-old brand moat generates 5.6B FCF TTM despite minimal reinvestment needs.

Operating Margin TTMROE TTMFree Cash Flow TTM

Defensive cash compounder: 12.7B cash, 7.6B operating cash flow TTM funds 8.7B annual dividends with 3.5x interest coverage.

Cash and EquivalentsCash Flow TTMInterest Expense TTM

Bear Case

P/S 6.4x vs industry median 2.7x and P/CF 39.9x vs 17.4x median - premium pricing leaves no margin of safety for execution missteps.

PS RatioPCF Ratio

Debt load 47.4B (1.52x equity) with 34.7B net debt constrains flexibility; rising rates pressure 1.7B annual interest expense.

Total DebtDebt to EquityInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
55%

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Forward Thesis

Margin stability will sustain premium valuation despite modest revenue growth

1-3yhigh
  • Brand moat enables pricing above inflation
  • Asset-light model limits capex to 4% of revenue
  • Dividend yield anchors institutional demand
Operating margin 31.3% TTM, 2.4x industryCapex only 2.0B vs 47.7B revenue TTMDividend 2.02/share on 3.01 EPS (67% payout)

Valuation Context

Caveats

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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