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L3Harris Technologies Inc

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L3Harris Technologies Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Goodwill of 20.4B is 104% of equity (19.5B) - tangible book value is NEGATIVE (-7.9B), creating material impairment risk if defense contracts underperform.[Goodwill]
  • FCF TTM of 1.9B (8.7% margin) vs capex of only 384M - capital-light model funds 4.76/share dividend (5% yield at cost) plus debt paydown.[Free Cash Flow TTM]
  • Interest expense TTM 615M consumes 33% of operating income (2.4B) with 11.7B total debt at 0.6x debt/equity - manageable but limits flexibility.[Interest Expense TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Goodwill: Any impairment charge or write-down announcementAt 104% of equity, even 10% impairment would erase 2B+ of book value
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 1.5B or FCF margin drops under 7%Dividend coverage (900M annual) requires sustained FCF generation
  • Interest Expense TTM: Rises above 700M or exceeds 35% of operating incomeSignals refinancing risk or debt burden constraining capital allocation

Bull Case

Prime defense contractor with 21.7B TTM revenue, operating margin 10.9% (1.6x industry median), and 1.9B FCF enables sustained dividends plus deleveraging.

Operating Margin TTMFree Cash Flow TTMTotal Revenue TTM

Capital-light model: capex only 1.8% of revenue vs 4.5% industry typical, driving FCF margin of 8.7% and supporting 4.76/share annual dividend.

Capital Expenditure TTMDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Bear Case

Negative tangible book (-7.9B) from 20.4B goodwill means any acquisition write-down directly impairs equity - M&A integration risk is existential.

GoodwillTangible Book Value

P/E of 29.2x vs industry median 24.3x (20% premium) with ROE only 9.1% and ROIC 5.6% - valuation assumes growth that returns don't yet justify.

PE RatioROE TTMROIC TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Defense budget stability supports mid-single-digit revenue growth with margin expansion from integration synergies

1-3ymed
  • 21.7B revenue base with sticky government contracts
  • Operating margin 10.9% vs industry median 6.7% - room to expand
  • R&D spend 523M (2.4% of revenue) protecting competitive moat
Operating Income TTM 2.4B on 21.7B revenueFCF conversion 83% of operating cash flowDebt paydown of 263M in recent period

Valuation Context

Caveats

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