LPG logo

Dorian LPG Ltd

LPG

Build a strategy around LPG

Accountable AI Logo

Dorian LPG Ltd AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • EPS growth 343% 1Y vs industry median -16% while revenue grew 51% - massive operating leverage in upcycle[EPS Growth 1Y]
  • Trading at 0.99x book value with 12.8% dividend yield (2.80/share TTM) - priced for cycle downturn[P/B Ratio]
  • Debt/equity 0.65x with 268M cash (25% of market cap) - balance sheet can weather rate volatility[Debt to Equity]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Declines >15% from 365MSignals rate cycle turning; operating leverage works both ways
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below 2.00/shareDividend cut would signal management expects prolonged downturn
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below dividend payout (26M)Unsustainable dividend forces balance sheet drawdown or cut

Bull Case

Dividend yield 12.8% covered 1.3x by FCF (89M FCF vs 26M dividends paid) with 268M cash buffer for rate weakness

Dividends Paid Per Share TTMFree Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents

Below book value (0.99x P/B) prices in significant rate decline; tangible assets fully cover market cap

P/B RatioTangible Book Value

Bear Case

Shipping rates are cyclical - 343% EPS growth signals peak; mean reversion would crush earnings and dividend

EPS Growth 1YTotal Revenue 1Y Growth

698M total debt at 30M interest expense (8% of revenue TTM) vulnerable if rates rise or cash flows drop

Total DebtInterest Expense TTM

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
40%

Leverage LPG's top insights and create a custom strategy based on them in seconds. Our AI editor does it all — in one click.

Take Me to The Editor

Forward Thesis

FCF generation will compress as LPG shipping rates normalize from cycle peak

1-3yhigh
  • TTM revenue 365M up 51% reflects peak rates
  • 89M FCF (24% margin) unsustainable at mid-cycle
  • Capital-intensive fleet requires ongoing maintenance capex
Operating margin 31% vs industry 27% medianCapex 32M TTM on 1.3B PPE (2.4% maintenance)3Y revenue CAGR 18% masks cyclicality

Valuation Context

Caveats

Data Partners
Morningstar Logo

Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Finance, Inc. Disclaimer
accountable.finance is not operated by a broker or a dealer. Under no circumstances does any information posted on accountable.finance represent a recommendation to buy or sell a security. The information on this site, and in its related newsletters, is not intended to be, nor does it constitute investment advice or recommendations. In no event shall accountable.finance be liable to any member, guest or third party for any damages of any kind arising out of the use of any content or other material published or available on accountable.finance, or relating to the use of, or inability to use, accountable.finance or any content, including, without limitation, any investment losses, lost profits, lost opportunity, special, incidental, indirect, consequential or punitive damages. Past performance is a poor indicator of future performance. The information on this site is in no way guaranteed for completeness, accuracy or in any other way. Stock quotes and fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

Accountable Logo
© 2026 Accountable Finance, Inc. All rights reserved.