Dorian LPG Ltd
LPG—
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Dorian LPG Ltd AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- EPS growth 343% 1Y vs industry median -16% while revenue grew 51% - massive operating leverage in upcycle[EPS Growth 1Y]
- Trading at 0.99x book value with 12.8% dividend yield (2.80/share TTM) - priced for cycle downturn[P/B Ratio]
- Debt/equity 0.65x with 268M cash (25% of market cap) - balance sheet can weather rate volatility[Debt to Equity]
Watch Triggers
- Total Revenue TTM: Declines >15% from 365M — Signals rate cycle turning; operating leverage works both ways
- Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below 2.00/share — Dividend cut would signal management expects prolonged downturn
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below dividend payout (26M) — Unsustainable dividend forces balance sheet drawdown or cut
Bull Case
Dividend yield 12.8% covered 1.3x by FCF (89M FCF vs 26M dividends paid) with 268M cash buffer for rate weakness
Dividends Paid Per Share TTMFree Cash Flow TTMCash and Equivalents
Below book value (0.99x P/B) prices in significant rate decline; tangible assets fully cover market cap
P/B RatioTangible Book Value
Bear Case
Shipping rates are cyclical - 343% EPS growth signals peak; mean reversion would crush earnings and dividend
EPS Growth 1YTotal Revenue 1Y Growth
698M total debt at 30M interest expense (8% of revenue TTM) vulnerable if rates rise or cash flows drop
Total DebtInterest Expense TTM
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
FCF generation will compress as LPG shipping rates normalize from cycle peak
1-3yhigh
- TTM revenue 365M up 51% reflects peak rates
- 89M FCF (24% margin) unsustainable at mid-cycle
- Capital-intensive fleet requires ongoing maintenance capex
Operating margin 31% vs industry 27% medianCapex 32M TTM on 1.3B PPE (2.4% maintenance)3Y revenue CAGR 18% masks cyclicality
Valuation Context
Caveats
LPG Fundamentals
Transportation and Warehousing → Pipeline Transportation
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$1.86B | — | ||
$2.24B | — | ||
9.6 | — | ||
$481.51M | +36.3% | — | |
$4.54 | +110.9% | — | |
44.0% | +12.1% | — | |
40.2% | +14.7% | — | |
$116.3M | -24.5% | — | |
17.7% | +9.0% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
LPG Dividend History
19 dividends
2026
$1.700005/18/26$1.0000
02/09/26$0.7000
2025
$2.450011/17/25$0.6500
08/12/25$0.6000
05/16/25$0.5000
02/05/25$0.7000
2024
$5.000011/05/24$1.0000
08/08/24$1.0000
05/07/24$2.0000
02/02/24$1.0000
2023
$4.000010/19/23$1.0000
08/09/23$1.0000
05/05/23$1.0000
02/14/23$1.0000
2022
$5.500011/04/22$1.0000
08/12/22$1.0000
05/13/22$2.5000
01/13/22$1.0000
2021
$1.000008/06/21$1.0000
LPG Stock Splits
No stock splits
LPG SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
05/27/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-K | |
02/05/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-Q | |
11/06/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/04/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/29/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-K | |
01/31/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-Q | |
10/31/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/01/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/29/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-K | |
02/01/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-Q | |
11/02/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/02/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
06/02/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-K | |
02/01/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-Q | |
11/02/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/03/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
06/02/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-K | |
02/03/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-Q | |
11/03/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/04/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
06/02/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-K | |
02/02/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-Q | |
11/02/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/04/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
06/12/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-K | |
02/05/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-Q | |
10/31/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/07/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/30/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-K | |
02/04/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-Q | |
10/31/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/09/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
06/28/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-K | |
02/08/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-Q | |
11/09/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
07/31/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
06/14/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-K | |
01/30/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-Q | |
10/28/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
07/28/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/31/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-K | |
01/29/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-Q | |
10/30/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/05/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
06/04/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-K | |
02/05/15 | 12/31/14 | 6-K | |
11/06/14 | 09/30/14 | 6-K | |
09/03/14 | 06/30/14 | 6-K | |
07/30/14 | 03/31/14 | 20-F | |
05/09/14 | 12/31/13 | 424B4 | |
11/06/14 | 09/30/13 | 6-K |