Intuitive Machines Inc
LUNRBuild a strategy around LUNR
Intuitive Machines Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Negative equity of -404M with 371M debt - balance sheet structurally impaired, reliant on continued capital raises[Common Stockholders Equity]
- Gross margin -0.1% TTM (cost exceeds revenue) vs industry median 45% - unit economics fundamentally broken[Gross Margin TTM]
- Cash of 622M provides ~15 quarters runway at current -40M FCF burn rate - dilution clock ticking[Cash and Equivalents]
Watch Triggers
- Gross Margin TTM: Turns positive (>0%) — First signal unit economics can work; currently destroying value on every mission
- Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 300M — Would indicate <2 years runway, forcing near-term capital raise
- Total Revenue TTM: Quarterly acceleration >25% YoY — Revenue declined 13% YoY; reversal needed to justify valuation
Bull Case
3Y revenue CAGR of 71% demonstrates contract execution in nascent lunar economy; 622M cash provides runway to reach scale
Working capital of 560M and current ratio 6.3x provides operational flexibility for multi-year mission pipeline
Bear Case
Negative gross margin means every dollar of revenue destroys value - no path to profitability without fundamental cost restructuring
P/S of 6.5x on loss-making business with -404M equity implies 100%+ dilution risk to reach sustainability
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Cash runway exhaustion by 2028 forces equity raise or strategic transaction
- FCF burn of -40M TTM with negative gross margins
- 371M debt load on negative equity base
- 3Y revenue CAGR 71% not translating to profitability
Valuation Context
Caveats
Public Strategies Rankings
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LUNR Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$0 | — | ||
$0 | — | ||
0.00 | — | ||
$207.13M | -9.2% | — | |
$0.00 | — | ||
-42.1% | -19.2% | — | |
-40.2% | +84.1% | — | |
$-56.02M | — | ||
0% | — | ||
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
LUNR Dividend History
LUNR Stock Splits
LUNR SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
03/19/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/13/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/07/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/13/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
03/25/25 | 12/31/24 | Unknown | |
11/15/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/13/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/14/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
03/25/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
03/25/25 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/13/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/14/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
07/05/23 | 03/31/23 | 424B3 | |
07/05/23 | 12/31/22 | 424B3 | |
11/13/23 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
10/13/22 | 06/30/22 | S-4 | |
07/05/23 | 03/31/22 | 424B3 | |
10/13/22 | 12/31/21 | S-4 |