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LiveOne Inc

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LiveOne Inc AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-16

Snapshot

  • Negative equity of -24.2M with goodwill (21.7M) representing 40% of total assets - balance sheet structurally impaired.[Common Stockholders Equity]
  • Revenue down 42% YoY (86.7M TTM) vs industry median +6.6% - severe demand destruction while peers grow.[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
  • FCF of -15.6M TTM with only 11.7M cash - runway under 9 months without capital raise or turnaround.[Free Cash Flow]

Watch Triggers

  • Cash and Equivalents: Falls below 8MWould signal imminent dilutive raise or bankruptcy risk within 6 months
  • Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Turns positiveWould indicate demand stabilization - first sign turnaround possible
  • Operating Income: Improves to -5M or betterWould extend runway and reduce dilution risk materially

Bull Case

P/S of 0.66x is 55% below industry median 1.48x - if turnaround succeeds, multiple expansion potential exists.

P/S RatioEnterprise Value

Gross margin 20.8% survived revenue collapse - cost structure partially variable, not fixed-cost death spiral.

Gross MarginCost of Revenue

Bear Case

Negative equity (-24.2M) with 15.7M debt creates 0.65 debt/assets ratio - balance sheet cannot absorb further losses.

Total EquityTotal DebtTotal Assets

Operating margin -15% vs industry +3.5% median - losing money on every dollar of revenue with no path to profitability visible.

Operating MarginOperating Income

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
20%

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Forward Thesis

Liquidity crisis likely within 12 months absent capital raise or dramatic cost cuts.

3-12mhigh
  • Cash burn of 15.6M/year vs 11.7M cash
  • Negative working capital of -13.1M
  • Current liabilities 3x current assets
FCF -15.6M TTMCash 11.7M, current liabilities 35.5MWorking capital -13.1M

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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