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Las Vegas Sands Corp

LVS

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Las Vegas Sands Corp AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-08

Snapshot

  • Debt/equity of 10x with 15.8B total debt vs 1.6B equity - highly leveraged capital structure limits flexibility[Debt to Equity]
  • EPS growth 76% TTM vastly exceeds revenue growth 24% - operating leverage driving margin expansion[EPS Growth 1yr]
  • Operating margin 23% TTM is 3x industry median (7.3%) - premium positioning in Asia gaming[Operating Margin TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Interest Expense TTM: Rises above 800M or interest coverage falls below 3xCurrently 3.8x coverage - deterioration signals debt service stress
  • Operating Margin TTM: Falls below 20%Margin compression would signal demand weakness or cost inflation
  • Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 1B or turns negative1.2B FCF barely covers 650M dividends - decline threatens payout

Bull Case

Premium margins (23% operating, 50% gross) on asset-heavy model generate 4.4B EBITDA TTM with further upside as Asia tourism normalizes

Operating Margin TTMEBITDA TTMGross Margin TTM

ROE of 62% TTM demonstrates efficient equity deployment despite leverage - 7x industry median ROE

ROE TTMNet Income TTM

Bear Case

Debt/equity 10x with 12.4B net debt - interest expense 735M TTM consumes 26% of operating income, limiting dividend growth

Debt to EquityNet DebtInterest Expense TTM

Negative working capital (-519M) and thin equity cushion (1.6B) creates refinancing risk if Asia gaming softens

Working CapitalTotal EquityCurrent Debt

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
45%

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Forward Thesis

Macau/Singapore recovery to drive continued margin expansion as fixed costs absorbed

1-3ymed
  • Operating leverage on 14.8B PPE base
  • Revenue 24% 1yr growth with 76% EPS growth
  • Gross margin 50% vs 28% industry median
Operating margin 23% TTM, 3x peersEBITDA 4.4B TTM on 12.3B revenue5yr revenue CAGR 49% post-COVID

Valuation Context

Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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