MetLife Inc
METBuild a strategy around MET
MetLife Inc AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- FCF of 14.6B TTM equals 28% of market cap - exceptional cash generation for a life insurer trading at 14.7x P/E[Free Cash Flow TTM]
- Revenue declining 7.7% 1Y and -8.9% 3Y CAGR while industry median grows 6.9% - structural headwind[Total Revenue 1Y Growth]
- Goodwill 9.1B is 31% of equity - manageable but watch for impairment if earnings pressure continues[Goodwill]
Watch Triggers
- Total Revenue 1Y Growth: Turns positive or decline accelerates beyond -10% — Revenue trajectory determines if decline is cyclical or structural
- Free Cash Flow TTM: Falls below 10B or FCF/Net Income diverges significantly — Cash generation is primary bull case - degradation invalidates thesis
- Goodwill: Impairment charge announced — 9.1B goodwill (31% of equity) impairment would pressure book value
Bull Case
FCF machine: 14.6B TTM cash flow on 52B market cap = 28% FCF yield, funding buybacks and 2.23 dividend at 0.69 debt/equity
Valuation discount: P/E 14.7x near industry median 13.8x despite 3x larger scale (70.8B revenue vs 4.3B median)
Bear Case
Revenue in structural decline: -7.7% 1Y, -8.9% 3Y CAGR vs industry +6.9% median - suggests market share loss or product headwinds
EPS down 33% 1Y and -3.8% 3Y CAGR - earnings quality deteriorating despite strong cash flow
Bull vs Bear Balance
AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.
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Forward Thesis
Capital return acceleration likely as FCF yield (28%) vastly exceeds dividend yield (~3%)
- 14.6B FCF vs 1.5B dividends leaves 13B+ for buybacks/debt paydown
- Debt/equity 0.69 provides balance sheet flexibility
- Shares outstanding 669M can shrink meaningfully
Valuation Context
Caveats
MET Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$56.34B | — | ||
$54.78B | — | ||
17 | — | ||
$75.98B | +4.7% | — | |
$5.17 | -15.5% | — | |
0% | — | ||
4.76% | -1.5% | — | |
$15.52B | -6.1% | — | |
13.2% | -2.9% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
MET Dividend History
2026
$1.16002025
$2.24752024
$2.15502023
$2.06002022
$1.98002021
$1.90002020
$1.82002019
$1.74002018
$1.66002017
$1.60002016
$1.57502015
$1.47502014
$1.32502013
$1.01002012
$0.74002011
$0.74002010
$0.74002009
$0.74002008
$0.74002007
$0.74002006
$0.59002005
$0.52002004
$0.46002003
$0.23002002
$0.21002001
$0.20002000
$0.2000MET Stock Splits
MET SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
05/07/26 | 03/31/26 | 10-Q | |
02/19/26 | 12/31/25 | 10-K | |
11/07/25 | 09/30/25 | 10-Q | |
08/07/25 | 06/30/25 | 10-Q | |
05/01/25 | 03/31/25 | 10-Q | |
02/21/25 | 12/31/24 | 10-K | |
11/01/24 | 09/30/24 | 10-Q | |
08/01/24 | 06/30/24 | 10-Q | |
05/02/24 | 03/31/24 | 10-Q | |
02/16/24 | 12/31/23 | 10-K | |
11/02/23 | 09/30/23 | 10-Q | |
08/04/23 | 06/30/23 | 10-Q | |
05/04/23 | 03/31/23 | 10-Q | |
02/23/23 | 12/31/22 | 10-K | |
11/03/22 | 09/30/22 | 10-Q | |
08/04/22 | 06/30/22 | 10-Q | |
05/05/22 | 03/31/22 | 10-Q | |
02/18/22 | 12/31/21 | 10-K | |
11/09/21 | 09/30/21 | 10-Q | |
08/06/21 | 06/30/21 | 10-Q | |
05/06/21 | 03/31/21 | 10-Q | |
02/19/21 | 12/31/20 | 10-K | |
11/09/20 | 09/30/20 | 10-Q | |
08/07/20 | 06/30/20 | 10-Q | |
05/08/20 | 03/31/20 | 10-Q | |
02/21/20 | 12/31/19 | 10-K | |
11/05/19 | 09/30/19 | 10-Q | |
08/06/19 | 06/30/19 | 10-Q | |
05/08/19 | 03/31/19 | 10-Q | |
02/22/19 | 12/31/18 | 10-K | |
11/08/18 | 09/30/18 | 10-Q | |
08/07/18 | 06/30/18 | 10-Q | |
05/08/18 | 03/31/18 | 10-Q | |
03/01/18 | 12/31/17 | 10-K | |
11/06/17 | 09/30/17 | 10-Q | |
08/04/17 | 06/30/17 | 10-Q | |
05/05/17 | 03/31/17 | 10-Q | |
03/01/17 | 12/31/16 | 10-K | |
11/03/16 | 09/30/16 | 10-Q | |
08/05/16 | 06/30/16 | 10-Q | |
05/06/16 | 03/31/16 | 10-Q | |
02/25/16 | 12/31/15 | 10-K | |
11/05/15 | 09/30/15 | 10-Q | |
08/06/15 | 06/30/15 | 10-Q | |
05/08/15 | 03/31/15 | 10-Q | |
02/27/15 | 12/31/14 | 10-K | |
11/06/14 | 09/30/14 | 10-Q | |
08/08/14 | 06/30/14 | 10-Q | |
05/08/14 | 03/31/14 | 10-Q | |
02/27/14 | 12/31/13 | 10-K | |
11/07/13 | 09/30/13 | 10-Q | |
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05/07/13 | 03/31/13 | 10-Q | |
02/27/13 | 12/31/12 | 10-K | |
11/07/12 | 09/30/12 | 10-Q | |
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05/08/12 | 03/31/12 | 10-Q | |
02/28/12 | 12/31/11 | 10-K | |
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05/10/11 | 03/31/11 | 10-Q | |
02/25/11 | 12/31/10 | 10-K | |
11/04/11 | 09/30/10 | 10-Q | |
08/02/10 | 06/30/10 | 10-Q | |
05/05/10 | 03/31/10 | 10-Q | |
02/26/10 | 12/31/09 | 10-K | |
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03/02/09 | 12/31/08 | 10-K | |
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02/28/08 | 12/31/07 | 10-K | |
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03/18/02 | 12/31/01 | 10-K405 | |
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03/14/01 | 12/31/00 | 10-K405 | |
11/14/00 | 09/30/00 | 10-Q | |
08/14/00 | 06/30/00 | 10-Q | |
05/19/00 | 03/31/00 | 10-Q |