Mesabi Trust
MSBMesabi Trust AI Insights
Informational only. Not investment advice.Snapshot
- Net income TTM of 92.8M is 4x revenue (23M) due to 71.2M unusual items - core earnings only 21.6M[Total Unusual Items Excluding Goodwill TTM]
- Zero debt with 21.2M cash (86% of assets) - pure royalty trust with minimal operating structure[Debt to Equity]
- ROE TTM of 413% vs industry median -4% is misleading - driven by one-time items, not operations[Return on Equity TTM]
Watch Triggers
- Total Revenue TTM: Decline >10% YoY — Signals accelerating mine depletion or pricing pressure on royalty stream
- Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below $0.80/share — Income thesis breaks - trust valued primarily for yield
- Total Unusual Items TTM: Returns to near-zero — Reveals true normalized earnings power around 18-20M
Bull Case
79% operating margin TTM with zero debt creates pure-play iron ore royalty exposure with minimal overhead drag
Dividend payout ratio 7Y avg of 86% with 1.07/share TTM yields ~3% at current prices - income vehicle
Bear Case
Revenue down 5.6% over 5Y and EPS down 6.6% over 5Y - structural decline in underlying royalty stream
P/S of 20.2x vs industry median 6.1x - paying 3.3x premium for declining asset with no growth optionality
Bull vs Bear Balance
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Forward Thesis
Normalized earnings power is ~21M annually, implying true P/E of 22x vs reported 12.7x
- 71.2M unusual items inflated TTM net income
- Operating income of 18.1M reflects recurring royalty stream
- Revenue declining 5.6% over 5 years signals structural headwind
Public Strategies Rankings
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MSB Fundamentals
| Metric | Value | YoY Growth | Industry Percentile |
|---|---|---|---|
$450.8M | — | ||
$427.61M | — | ||
26 | — | ||
$19.0M | -25.8% | — | |
$1.31 | -51.8% | — | |
74.6% | -11.5% | — | |
90.6% | -268.4% | — | |
$19.38M | -78.5% | — | |
0.30 | -128.2% | — | |
Beta 5Y (Monthly) | unknown | — |
MSB Dividend History
MSB Stock Splits
MSB SEC Filings
| Filing Date | Report Date | Report Type | Filing Link |
|---|---|---|---|
12/12/25 | 10/31/25 | 10-Q | |
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