MS

Mesabi Trust

MSB
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Mesabi Trust AI Insights

Informational only. Not investment advice.
As of 2025-12-11

Snapshot

  • Net income TTM of 92.8M is 4x revenue (23M) due to 71.2M unusual items - core earnings only 21.6M[Total Unusual Items Excluding Goodwill TTM]
  • Zero debt with 21.2M cash (86% of assets) - pure royalty trust with minimal operating structure[Debt to Equity]
  • ROE TTM of 413% vs industry median -4% is misleading - driven by one-time items, not operations[Return on Equity TTM]

Watch Triggers

  • Total Revenue TTM: Decline >10% YoYSignals accelerating mine depletion or pricing pressure on royalty stream
  • Dividends Paid Per Share TTM: Cut below $0.80/shareIncome thesis breaks - trust valued primarily for yield
  • Total Unusual Items TTM: Returns to near-zeroReveals true normalized earnings power around 18-20M

Bull Case

79% operating margin TTM with zero debt creates pure-play iron ore royalty exposure with minimal overhead drag

Operating Margin TTMDebt to Equity

Dividend payout ratio 7Y avg of 86% with 1.07/share TTM yields ~3% at current prices - income vehicle

Dividend Payout Ratio Avg 7yrDividends Paid Per Share TTM

Bear Case

Revenue down 5.6% over 5Y and EPS down 6.6% over 5Y - structural decline in underlying royalty stream

Total Revenue 5yr GrowthEPS Growth 5yr

P/S of 20.2x vs industry median 6.1x - paying 3.3x premium for declining asset with no growth optionality

Price to Sales RatioTotal Revenue 5yr Growth

Bull vs Bear Balance

AI-generated sentiment analysis based on fundamental metrics and market conditions.

BearBull
35%

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Forward Thesis

Normalized earnings power is ~21M annually, implying true P/E of 22x vs reported 12.7x

1-3ymed
  • 71.2M unusual items inflated TTM net income
  • Operating income of 18.1M reflects recurring royalty stream
  • Revenue declining 5.6% over 5 years signals structural headwind
Operating Income TTM: 18.1MTotal Revenue 5Y Growth: -5.6%Unusual Items TTM: 71.2M
Valuation Context
Caveats

Public Strategies Rankings

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Fundamental company data provided by Morningstar, updated daily.

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